Derby County at Blackburn

Updated

Derby County

27.3%26.9%45.8%
Derby County WinDrawBlackburn Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.40
2Final Score 4

Blackburn

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City+120
W 2-0 at Blackpool+375
L 3-1 vs Bristol City+170
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+225
W 1-2 vs Fulham+465
Blackburn
Money Line
W 2-0 at Leicester City+460
T 0-0 vs Coventry City+115
L 3-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday+115
W 1-0 at Leeds United+850
L 0-5 at Bristol City+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+188+242+215+230+243+230+243+255.7
Blackburn+122+119+120+114+118+114+120+130.7
Draw+230+243+250+225+240+225+250+250.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+215---+195+225+225+255.7
Blackburn+130---+110+120+120+130.7
Draw+235---+220+245+245+250.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blackburn: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Blackburn: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Blackburn: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +223 to +215
Blackburn ML moved from +123 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Blackburn: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Blackburn: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Blackburn: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +220 to +210
Blackburn ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-103o2½-105o2½+104o2½+101o2½+104o2½+104o2½+113
Underu2½-110u2½-113u2½-115u2½-124u2½-119u2½-124u2½-113u2½-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+113
Under-----u2½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.95%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 412.66%
Exactly 62.46%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.60%
Exactly 320.97%
Exactly 56.11%
Exactly 70.85%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 036.25%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Blackburn
Exactly 024.69%
Exactly 134.53%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 311.26%
Exactly 43.94%
Exactly 51.10%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.71%
Exactly 220.43%
Exactly 42.13%
 
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 37.61%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 062.51%
Exactly 129.37%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Blackburn
Exactly 052.32%
Exactly 133.89%
Exactly 210.98%
Exactly 32.37%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals9.99%
Wins by 3+ goals2.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Blackburn
Wins by 2+ goals21.93%
Wins by 3+ goals8.22%
Wins by 4+ goals2.47%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Blackburn
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal17.24%
Wins by 2 goals7.21%
Wins by 3 goals2.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Blackburn
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals13.71%
Wins by 3 goals5.75%
Wins by 4 goals1.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.05%8.95%
1.569.45%30.55%
2.543.39%56.61%
3.522.42%77.58%
4.59.76%90.24%
5.53.65%96.35%
6.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.75%36.25%
1.526.97%73.03%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Blackburn Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.31%24.69%
1.540.78%59.22%
2.516.62%83.38%
3.55.36%94.64%
4.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.29%32.71%
1.530.74%69.26%
2.510.32%89.68%
3.52.71%97.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Blackburn
Score012345
0
8.95%
12.52%
8.76%
4.08%
1.43%
0.40%
1
9.08%
12.70%
8.89%
4.14%
1.45%
0.41%
2
4.61%
6.45%
4.51%
2.10%
0.74%
0.21%
3
1.56%
2.18%
1.53%
0.71%
0.25%
0.07%
4
0.40%
0.55%
0.39%
0.18%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-09.08%
2-04.61%
2-16.45%
3-01.56%
3-12.18%
3-21.53%
4-00.40%
4-10.55%
4-20.39%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.95%
1-112.70%
2-24.51%
3-30.71%
Blackburn
0-112.52%
0-28.76%
1-28.89%
0-34.08%
1-34.14%
2-32.10%
0-41.43%
1-41.45%
2-40.74%
3-40.25%
0-50.40%
1-50.41%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Blackburn
Score01234
0
32.71%
21.18%
6.86%
1.48%
0.24%
1
15.37%
9.95%
3.22%
0.70%
0.11%
2
3.61%
2.34%
0.76%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.57%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Derby County
1-015.37%
2-03.61%
2-12.34%
3-00.57%
3-10.37%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-032.71%
1-19.95%
2-20.76%
Blackburn
0-121.18%
0-26.86%
1-23.22%
0-31.48%
1-30.70%
2-30.16%
0-40.24%
1-40.11%
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