Millwall at Bristol City

Updated

Millwall

25.7%26.3%48.0%
Millwall WinDrawBristol City Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.47
3Final Score 4

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Watford+135
W 1-0 at Swansea City+270
W 0-1 vs Plymouth Argyle+110
W 1-0 at Sunderland+265
W 1-3 vs Cardiff City-110
Bristol City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Hull City+190
L 0-4 at Stoke City+250
W 0-2 vs Rotherham United-250
T 1-1 at Norwich City+415
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+310+298+280+245+301+245+301+275.3
Bristol City+100+106+105+104+106+104+106+121.9
Draw+200+231+205+225+226+225+231+253.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+305---+315+285+315+275.3
Bristol City+100----130+105+105+121.9
Draw+230---+210+230+230+253.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Bristol City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 30.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +310 to +292
Bristol City ML moved from +100 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Bristol City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 50.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +335 to +285
Bristol City ML moved from -115 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2-131o2¼+108o2¼+109o2-126o2¼+109o2-126o2¼+118
Underu2+105u2+111u2¼-128u2¼-129u2+106u2¼-129u2¼-128u2¼-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+118
Under-----u2¼-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.52%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 413.06%
Exactly 62.64%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.98%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 56.43%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 036.88%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.35%
Exactly 36.10%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 023.10%
Exactly 133.85%
Exactly 224.80%
Exactly 312.12%
Exactly 44.44%
Exactly 51.30%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.97%
Exactly 220.79%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 063.01%
Exactly 129.10%
Exactly 26.72%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 050.74%
Exactly 134.43%
Exactly 211.68%
Exactly 32.64%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals9.24%
Wins by 3+ goals2.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals23.75%
Wins by 3+ goals9.25%
Wins by 4+ goals2.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Bristol City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal16.42%
Wins by 2 goals6.72%
Wins by 3 goals2.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal24.12%
Wins by 2 goals14.50%
Wins by 3 goals6.36%
Wins by 4 goals2.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.48%8.52%
1.570.50%29.50%
2.544.66%55.34%
3.523.45%76.55%
4.510.39%89.61%
5.53.96%96.04%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.12%36.88%
1.526.33%73.67%
2.57.98%92.02%
3.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.90%23.10%
1.543.05%56.95%
2.518.25%81.75%
3.56.14%93.86%
4.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.03%31.97%
1.531.57%68.43%
2.510.78%89.22%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Bristol City
Score012345
0
8.52%
12.48%
9.15%
4.47%
1.64%
0.48%
1
8.50%
12.45%
9.12%
4.46%
1.63%
0.48%
2
4.24%
6.21%
4.55%
2.22%
0.81%
0.24%
3
1.41%
2.06%
1.51%
0.74%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.35%
0.51%
0.38%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Millwall
1-08.50%
2-04.24%
2-16.21%
3-01.41%
3-12.06%
3-21.51%
4-00.35%
4-10.51%
4-20.38%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.52%
1-112.45%
2-24.55%
3-30.74%
Bristol City
0-112.48%
0-29.15%
1-29.12%
0-34.47%
1-34.46%
2-32.22%
0-41.64%
1-41.63%
2-40.81%
3-40.27%
0-50.48%
1-50.48%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Bristol City
Score01234
0
31.97%
21.69%
7.36%
1.66%
0.28%
1
14.77%
10.02%
3.40%
0.77%
0.13%
2
3.41%
2.31%
0.78%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.52%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Millwall
1-014.77%
2-03.41%
2-12.31%
3-00.52%
3-10.36%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.97%
1-110.02%
2-20.78%
Bristol City
0-121.69%
0-27.36%
1-23.40%
0-31.66%
1-30.77%
2-30.18%
0-40.28%
1-40.13%
Blackburn at Norwich City
Hull City at Plymouth Argyle