Middlesbrough at Derby County

Updated

Middlesbrough

44.4%27.4%28.2%
Middlesbrough WinDrawDerby County Win
1.35Projected Goals 1.02
0Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Swansea City-120
W 1-3 vs Watford-140
W 4-1 at Cardiff City-125
L 4-3 vs Leeds United+400
T 1-1 at Ipswich Town+315
Derby County
Money Line
L 2-4 at Blackburn+225
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City+120
W 2-0 at Blackpool+375
L 3-1 vs Bristol City+170
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+129-105-110-109-107-109-105+108.8
Derby County+213+289+275+245+284+245+289+275.8
Draw+253+270+255+260+277+260+277+292.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+110----110+105+105+108.8
Derby County+240---+225+250+250+275.8
Draw+255---+240+260+260+292.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +102 to -101
Derby County ML moved from +255 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-119o2½-127o2½-120o2¾+100o2½-118o2¾+100o2½-118o2¾+109
Underu2½+101u2½+108u2½+100u2¾-120u2½+100u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.33%
Exactly 226.24%
Exactly 412.31%
Exactly 62.31%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.13%
Exactly 320.75%
Exactly 55.84%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 025.82%
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 223.67%
Exactly 310.68%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 50.98%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 036.12%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.73%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.34%
Exactly 220.11%
Exactly 42.02%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.36%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 053.43%
Exactly 133.49%
Exactly 210.50%
Exactly 32.19%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 062.40%
Exactly 129.43%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals20.82%
Wins by 3+ goals7.61%
Wins by 4+ goals2.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.51%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals10.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal23.58%
Wins by 2 goals13.22%
Wins by 3 goals5.38%
Wins by 4 goals1.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.43%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal17.74%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.67%9.33%
1.568.55%31.45%
2.542.30%57.70%
3.521.55%78.45%
4.59.24%90.76%
5.53.40%96.60%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.18%25.82%
1.539.21%60.79%
2.515.55%84.45%
3.54.87%95.13%
4.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.88%36.12%
1.527.10%72.90%
2.58.37%91.63%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.66%33.34%
1.530.04%69.96%
2.59.93%90.07%
3.52.56%97.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Derby County
Score01234
0
9.33%
9.50%
4.84%
1.64%
0.42%
1
12.63%
12.86%
6.55%
2.22%
0.57%
2
8.55%
8.71%
4.43%
1.50%
0.38%
3
3.86%
3.93%
2.00%
0.68%
0.17%
4
1.31%
1.33%
0.68%
0.23%
0.06%
5
0.35%
0.36%
0.18%
0.06%
0.02%
Middlesbrough
1-012.63%
2-08.55%
2-18.71%
3-03.86%
3-13.93%
3-22.00%
4-01.31%
4-11.33%
4-20.68%
4-30.23%
5-00.35%
5-10.36%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-09.33%
1-112.86%
2-24.43%
3-30.68%
Derby County
0-19.50%
0-24.84%
1-26.55%
0-31.64%
1-32.22%
2-31.50%
0-40.42%
1-40.57%
2-40.38%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Derby County
Score0123
0
33.34%
15.72%
3.71%
0.58%
1
20.90%
9.85%
2.32%
0.37%
2
6.55%
3.09%
0.73%
0.11%
3
1.37%
0.65%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.21%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-020.90%
2-06.55%
2-13.09%
3-01.37%
3-10.65%
3-20.15%
4-00.21%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-033.34%
1-19.85%
2-20.73%
Derby County
0-115.72%
0-23.71%
1-22.32%
0-30.58%
1-30.37%
2-30.11%