Norwich City at Derby County

Updated

Norwich City

36.5%29.7%33.9%
Norwich City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.04
3Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Norwich City
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Watford+120
L 0-1 at Swansea City+200
W 1-0 at Coventry City+300
T 1-1 vs Sheffield United+165
T 2-2 vs Blackburn+135
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+430
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+130
W 0-3 vs Bristol City+190
L 1-2 at Watford+300
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Norwich City+158+152+145+142+147+142+152+161.8
Derby County+167+184+170+167+179+167+184+188.9
Draw+258+243+235+240+249+240+249+267.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Norwich City+150---+130+150+150+161.8
Derby County+175---+160+175+175+188.9
Draw+250---+225+250+250+267.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Norwich City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Norwich City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Norwich City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Norwich City ML moved from +158 to +152
Derby County ML moved from +184 to +178

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Norwich City: 10.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Norwich City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Norwich City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Norwich City ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½+102o2½-108o2½+115o2½+103o2½+115o2½+115o2½+124
Underu2½-108u2½-119u2½-112u2½-135u2½-123u2½-135u2½-112u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+124
Under-----u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.0%
 
No57.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.84%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.22%
Exactly 61.55%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.26%
Exactly 319.17%
Exactly 54.36%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Norwich City
Exactly 033.55%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 37.28%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 035.30%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.24%
Exactly 218.17%
Exactly 41.48%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 35.98%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norwich City
Exactly 060.31%
Exactly 130.50%
Exactly 27.71%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 061.74%
Exactly 129.77%
Exactly 27.18%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Norwich City
Wins by 2+ goals14.55%
Wins by 3+ goals4.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals13.00%
Wins by 3+ goals3.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Norwich City
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Norwich City
Wins by 1 goal21.82%
Wins by 2 goals10.15%
Wins by 3 goals3.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal20.81%
Wins by 2 goals9.23%
Wins by 3 goals2.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.16%11.84%
1.562.89%37.11%
2.535.94%64.06%
3.516.77%83.23%
4.56.55%93.45%
5.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Norwich City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.45%33.55%
1.529.81%70.19%
2.59.80%90.20%
3.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.70%35.30%
1.527.95%72.05%
2.58.81%91.19%
3.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.76%37.24%
1.525.98%74.02%
2.57.81%92.19%
3.51.83%98.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Norwich City
Derby County
Score012345
0
11.84%
12.33%
6.42%
2.23%
0.58%
0.12%
1
12.93%
13.47%
7.01%
2.43%
0.63%
0.13%
2
7.06%
7.35%
3.83%
1.33%
0.35%
0.07%
3
2.57%
2.68%
1.39%
0.48%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.70%
0.73%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Norwich City
1-012.93%
2-07.06%
2-17.35%
3-02.57%
3-12.68%
3-21.39%
4-00.70%
4-10.73%
4-20.38%
4-30.13%
5-00.15%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-011.84%
1-113.47%
2-23.83%
3-30.48%
Derby County
0-112.33%
0-26.42%
1-27.01%
0-32.23%
1-32.43%
2-31.33%
0-40.58%
1-40.63%
2-40.35%
3-40.13%
0-50.12%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Norwich City
Derby County
Score0123
0
37.24%
17.96%
4.33%
0.70%
1
18.83%
9.08%
2.19%
0.35%
2
4.76%
2.30%
0.55%
0.09%
3
0.80%
0.39%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Norwich City
1-018.83%
2-04.76%
2-12.30%
3-00.80%
3-10.39%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-037.24%
1-19.08%
2-20.55%
Derby County
0-117.96%
0-24.33%
1-22.19%
0-30.70%
1-30.35%
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