Norwich City at Derby County

Updated

Norwich City

36.5%29.7%33.9%
Norwich City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.04
3Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Norwich City
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Watford+120
L 0-1 at Swansea City+200
W 1-0 at Coventry City+300
T 1-1 vs Sheffield United+165
T 2-2 vs Blackburn+135
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+430
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+130
W 0-3 vs Bristol City+190
L 1-2 at Watford+300
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Norwich City+158+152+145+142+147+142+152+161.8
Derby County+167+184+170+167+179+167+184+188.9
Draw+258+243+235+240+249+240+249+267.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Norwich City+150---+130+150+150+161.8
Derby County+175---+160+175+175+188.9
Draw+250---+225+250+250+267.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Norwich City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Norwich City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Norwich City ML moved from +158 to +152
Derby County ML moved from +184 to +178

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Norwich City: 10.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Norwich City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Norwich City ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½+102o2½-108o2½+115o2½+103o2½+115o2½+115o2½+124
Underu2½-108u2½-119u2½-112u2½-135u2½-123u2½-135u2½-112u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+124
Under-----u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.0%
 
No57.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.84%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.22%
Exactly 61.55%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.26%
Exactly 319.17%
Exactly 54.36%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Norwich City
Exactly 033.55%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 37.28%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 035.30%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.24%
Exactly 218.17%
Exactly 41.48%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 35.98%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norwich City
Exactly 060.31%
Exactly 130.50%
Exactly 27.71%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 061.74%
Exactly 129.77%
Exactly 27.18%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Norwich City
Wins by 2+ goals14.55%
Wins by 3+ goals4.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals13.00%
Wins by 3+ goals3.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Norwich City
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Norwich City
Wins by 1 goal21.82%
Wins by 2 goals10.15%
Wins by 3 goals3.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal20.81%
Wins by 2 goals9.23%
Wins by 3 goals2.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.16%11.84%
1.562.89%37.11%
2.535.94%64.06%
3.516.77%83.23%
4.56.55%93.45%
5.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Norwich City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.45%33.55%
1.529.81%70.19%
2.59.80%90.20%
3.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.70%35.30%
1.527.95%72.05%
2.58.81%91.19%
3.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.76%37.24%
1.525.98%74.02%
2.57.81%92.19%
3.51.83%98.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Norwich City
Derby County
Score012345
0
11.84%
12.33%
6.42%
2.23%
0.58%
0.12%
1
12.93%
13.47%
7.01%
2.43%
0.63%
0.13%
2
7.06%
7.35%
3.83%
1.33%
0.35%
0.07%
3
2.57%
2.68%
1.39%
0.48%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.70%
0.73%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Norwich City
1-012.93%
2-07.06%
2-17.35%
3-02.57%
3-12.68%
3-21.39%
4-00.70%
4-10.73%
4-20.38%
4-30.13%
5-00.15%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-011.84%
1-113.47%
2-23.83%
3-30.48%
Derby County
0-112.33%
0-26.42%
1-27.01%
0-32.23%
1-32.43%
2-31.33%
0-40.58%
1-40.63%
2-40.35%
3-40.13%
0-50.12%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Norwich City
Derby County
Score0123
0
37.24%
17.96%
4.33%
0.70%
1
18.83%
9.08%
2.19%
0.35%
2
4.76%
2.30%
0.55%
0.09%
3
0.80%
0.39%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Norwich City
1-018.83%
2-04.76%
2-12.30%
3-00.80%
3-10.39%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-037.24%
1-19.08%
2-20.55%
Derby County
0-117.96%
0-24.33%
1-22.19%
0-30.70%
1-30.35%