Derby County at Sheffield Utd

Updated

Derby County

17.4%23.9%58.7%
WinDrawSheffield Utd Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.69
0Final Score 1

Sheffield United

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City+130
W 0-3 vs Bristol City+190
L 1-2 at Watford+300
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+250
L 2-4 at Blackburn+225
Sheffield United
Money Line
W 2-0 at Hull City+115
W 0-1 vs Watford-130
T 1-1 at Norwich City+155
T 2-2 vs Queens Park Rangers-140
W 2-0 at Preston North End+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+393+359+460+300+342+300+460+331.9
Sheffield Utd-141-131-175-127-130-127-127-107.5
Draw+298+292+295+270+287+270+295+299.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+400---+415+430+430+331.9
Sheffield Utd-150----215-170-170-107.5
Draw+300---+300+330+330+299.5

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Derby County: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Sheffield Utd: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 90.0%
Sheffield Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +360 to +342
Sheffield Utd ML moved from -157 to -164

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Derby County: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 10.0%
Sheffield Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 80.0%
Sheffield Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +440 to +430
Sheffield Utd ML moved from -200 to -210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-114o2½-117o2½-114o2½-114o2½-104
Underu2½+102u2½+102u2½+100u2½-106u2½-101u2½-106u2½+102u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.29%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 413.28%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.65%
Exactly 321.33%
Exactly 56.61%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 045.11%
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 214.29%
Exactly 33.79%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Sheffield United
Exactly 018.39%
Exactly 131.14%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 314.88%
Exactly 46.30%
Exactly 52.13%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.58%
Exactly 220.98%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.06%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 069.17%
Exactly 125.50%
Exactly 24.70%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sheffield United
Exactly 045.66%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 214.03%
Exactly 33.67%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals5.19%
Wins by 3+ goals1.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Sheffield United
Wins by 2+ goals32.82%
Wins by 3+ goals14.59%
Wins by 4+ goals5.29%
Wins by 5+ goals1.59%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Sheffield United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal12.18%
Wins by 2 goals4.03%
Wins by 3 goals0.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Sheffield United
Wins by 1 goal25.90%
Wins by 2 goals18.22%
Wins by 3 goals9.31%
Wins by 4 goals3.70%
Wins by 5 goals1.20%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.71%8.29%
1.571.05%28.95%
2.545.35%54.65%
3.524.02%75.98%
4.510.74%89.26%
5.54.13%95.87%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.89%45.11%
1.518.98%81.02%
2.54.69%95.31%

Total Goals Sheffield United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.61%18.39%
1.550.47%49.53%
2.524.10%75.90%
3.59.22%90.78%
4.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.42%31.58%
1.532.02%67.98%
2.511.04%88.96%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Sheffield United
Score012345
0
8.29%
14.05%
11.89%
6.71%
2.84%
0.96%
1
6.60%
11.18%
9.47%
5.34%
2.26%
0.77%
2
2.63%
4.45%
3.77%
2.13%
0.90%
0.31%
3
0.70%
1.18%
1.00%
0.56%
0.24%
0.08%
4
0.14%
0.24%
0.20%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Derby County
1-06.60%
2-02.63%
2-14.45%
3-00.70%
3-11.18%
3-21.00%
4-00.14%
4-10.24%
4-20.20%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-08.29%
1-111.18%
2-23.77%
3-30.56%
Sheffield United
0-114.05%
0-211.89%
1-29.47%
0-36.71%
1-35.34%
2-32.13%
0-42.84%
1-42.26%
2-40.90%
3-40.24%
0-50.96%
1-50.77%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Sheffield United
Score01234
0
31.58%
24.76%
9.71%
2.54%
0.50%
1
11.64%
9.13%
3.58%
0.94%
0.18%
2
2.15%
1.68%
0.66%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.26%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-011.64%
2-02.15%
2-11.68%
3-00.26%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-031.58%
1-19.13%
2-20.66%
Sheffield United
0-124.76%
0-29.71%
1-23.58%
0-32.54%
1-30.94%
2-30.17%
0-40.50%
1-40.18%
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