Sunderland at Watford

Updated

Sunderland

26.7%27.0%46.2%
Sunderland WinDrawWatford Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.40
1Final Score 2

Watford

Last 5 Games

Sunderland
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+145
L 2-3 at Plymouth Argyle-145
W 3-1 at Portsmouth+105
W 0-1 vs Burnley+155
W 0-4 vs Sheffield Wednesday+115
Watford
Money Line
L 1-4 at Norwich City+220
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+165
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+335
W 1-2 vs Derby County-110
W 0-3 vs Stoke City+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sunderland+150+131+140+123+123+123+140+141.5
Watford+160+210+175+190+210+190+210+214.1
Draw+240+251+235+245+257+245+257+273.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sunderland+155---+105+125+125+141.5
Watford+170---+195+210+210+214.1
Draw+250---+235+250+250+273.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sunderland: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sunderland: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sunderland: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sunderland ML moved from +130 to +121
Watford ML moved from +205 to +199

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sunderland: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sunderland: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sunderland: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sunderland ML moved from +130 to +105
Watford ML moved from +220 to +210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-109o2½-108o2½-108o2½-107o2½-108o2½-107o2½+102
Underu2½-120u2½-108u2½-112u2½-112u2½-111u2½-112u2½-108u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+102
Under-----u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.15%
Exactly 226.17%
Exactly 412.47%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.89%
Exactly 320.85%
Exactly 55.96%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 037.03%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 41.50%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 024.72%
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 311.24%
Exactly 43.93%
Exactly 51.10%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.05%
Exactly 220.25%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.47%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 063.13%
Exactly 129.04%
Exactly 26.68%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 052.36%
Exactly 133.88%
Exactly 210.96%
Exactly 32.36%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals9.64%
Wins by 3+ goals2.64%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals22.19%
Wins by 3+ goals8.33%
Wins by 4+ goals2.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Sunderland
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal17.05%
Wins by 2 goals7.01%
Wins by 3 goals2.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.98%
Wins by 2 goals13.86%
Wins by 3 goals5.82%
Wins by 4 goals1.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.85%9.15%
1.568.96%31.04%
2.542.79%57.21%
3.521.94%78.06%
4.59.47%90.53%
5.53.51%96.49%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.97%37.03%
1.526.19%73.81%
2.57.91%92.09%
3.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.28%24.72%
1.540.73%59.27%
2.516.59%83.41%
3.55.34%94.66%
4.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.95%33.05%
1.530.35%69.65%
2.510.10%89.90%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sunderland
Watford
Score012345
0
9.15%
12.79%
8.94%
4.16%
1.45%
0.41%
1
9.09%
12.71%
8.88%
4.14%
1.45%
0.40%
2
4.52%
6.31%
4.41%
2.06%
0.72%
0.20%
3
1.50%
2.09%
1.46%
0.68%
0.24%
0.07%
4
0.37%
0.52%
0.36%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Sunderland
1-09.09%
2-04.52%
2-16.31%
3-01.50%
3-12.09%
3-21.46%
4-00.37%
4-10.52%
4-20.36%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-09.15%
1-112.71%
2-24.41%
3-30.68%
Watford
0-112.79%
0-28.94%
1-28.88%
0-34.16%
1-34.14%
2-32.06%
0-41.45%
1-41.45%
2-40.72%
3-40.24%
0-50.41%
1-50.40%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Sunderland
Watford
Score01234
0
33.05%
21.39%
6.92%
1.49%
0.24%
1
15.21%
9.84%
3.18%
0.69%
0.11%
2
3.50%
2.26%
0.73%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.54%
0.35%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Sunderland
1-015.21%
2-03.50%
2-12.26%
3-00.54%
3-10.35%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.05%
1-19.84%
2-20.73%
Watford
0-121.39%
0-26.92%
1-23.18%
0-31.49%
1-30.69%
2-30.16%
0-40.24%
1-40.11%
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