Stoke City at Watford

Updated

Stoke City

31.7%28.8%39.4%
Stoke City WinDrawWatford Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.19
0Final Score 3

Watford

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Coventry City+145
W 0-4 vs Bristol City+105
W 1-0 at Southampton+315
W 0-3 vs Plymouth Argyle-130
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+170
Watford
Money Line
W 3-2 at Millwall+215
L 1-3 at Middlesbrough+340
W 0-1 vs Sunderland+135
T 0-0 vs Hull City+190
L 2-3 at Southampton+600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+182+172+160+165+178+165+178+186.7
Watford+159+172+165+152+163+152+172+172.6
Draw+233+229+215+225+232+225+232+251.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+170---+155+165+165+186.7
Watford+170---+145+170+170+172.6
Draw+225---+205+230+230+251.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +181 to +163
Watford ML moved from +173 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +180 to +165
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+102o2¼-122o2¼-116o2¼-121o2¼-116o2¼-116o2¼-105
Underu2½-120u2½-120u2¼+102u2¼-104u2¼+103u2¼-104u2½-120u2¼+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-105
Under-----u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.78%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 411.05%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.02%
Exactly 319.85%
Exactly 54.92%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 035.47%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 41.71%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 030.41%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 221.55%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.66%
Exactly 218.96%
Exactly 41.68%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.52%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 061.88%
Exactly 129.70%
Exactly 27.13%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 057.63%
Exactly 131.76%
Exactly 28.75%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals12.03%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals16.85%
Wins by 3+ goals5.54%
Wins by 4+ goals1.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal19.65%
Wins by 2 goals8.58%
Wins by 3 goals2.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal22.57%
Wins by 2 goals11.31%
Wins by 3 goals4.09%
Wins by 4 goals1.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.22%10.78%
1.565.20%34.80%
2.538.45%61.55%
3.518.60%81.40%
4.57.55%92.45%
5.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.53%35.47%
1.527.77%72.23%
2.58.72%91.28%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.59%30.41%
1.533.39%66.61%
2.511.85%88.15%
3.53.29%96.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.34%35.66%
1.527.57%72.43%
2.58.61%91.39%
3.52.10%97.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Watford
Score012345
0
10.78%
12.84%
7.64%
3.03%
0.90%
0.21%
1
11.18%
13.31%
7.92%
3.14%
0.94%
0.22%
2
5.79%
6.90%
4.11%
1.63%
0.48%
0.12%
3
2.00%
2.38%
1.42%
0.56%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.52%
0.62%
0.37%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-011.18%
2-05.79%
2-16.90%
3-02.00%
3-12.38%
3-21.42%
4-00.52%
4-10.62%
4-20.37%
4-30.15%
5-00.11%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-010.78%
1-113.31%
2-24.11%
3-30.56%
Watford
0-112.84%
0-27.64%
1-27.92%
0-33.03%
1-33.14%
2-31.63%
0-40.90%
1-40.94%
2-40.48%
3-40.17%
0-50.21%
1-50.22%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Watford
Score01234
0
35.66%
19.66%
5.42%
1.00%
0.14%
1
17.11%
9.43%
2.60%
0.48%
0.07%
2
4.11%
2.26%
0.62%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.66%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-017.11%
2-04.11%
2-12.26%
3-00.66%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-035.66%
1-19.43%
2-20.62%
Watford
0-119.66%
0-25.42%
1-22.60%
0-31.00%
1-30.48%
2-30.11%
0-40.14%