Stoke City at Watford

Updated

Stoke City

31.7%28.8%39.4%
Stoke City WinDrawWatford Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.19
0Final Score 3

Watford

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Coventry City+145
W 0-4 vs Bristol City+105
W 1-0 at Southampton+315
W 0-3 vs Plymouth Argyle-130
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+170
Watford
Money Line
W 3-2 at Millwall+215
L 1-3 at Middlesbrough+340
W 0-1 vs Sunderland+135
T 0-0 vs Hull City+190
L 2-3 at Southampton+600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+182+172+160+165+178+165+178+186.7
Watford+159+172+165+152+163+152+172+172.6
Draw+233+229+215+225+232+225+232+251.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+170---+155+165+165+186.7
Watford+170---+145+170+170+172.6
Draw+225---+205+230+230+251.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +181 to +163
Watford ML moved from +173 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +180 to +165
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+102o2¼-122o2¼-116o2¼-121o2¼-116o2¼-116o2¼-105
Underu2½-120u2½-120u2¼+102u2¼-104u2¼+103u2¼-104u2½-120u2¼+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-105
Under-----u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.78%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 411.05%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.02%
Exactly 319.85%
Exactly 54.92%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 035.47%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 41.71%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 030.41%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 221.55%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.66%
Exactly 218.96%
Exactly 41.68%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.52%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 061.88%
Exactly 129.70%
Exactly 27.13%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 057.63%
Exactly 131.76%
Exactly 28.75%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals12.03%
Wins by 3+ goals3.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals16.85%
Wins by 3+ goals5.54%
Wins by 4+ goals1.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal19.65%
Wins by 2 goals8.58%
Wins by 3 goals2.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal22.57%
Wins by 2 goals11.31%
Wins by 3 goals4.09%
Wins by 4 goals1.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.22%10.78%
1.565.20%34.80%
2.538.45%61.55%
3.518.60%81.40%
4.57.55%92.45%
5.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.53%35.47%
1.527.77%72.23%
2.58.72%91.28%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.59%30.41%
1.533.39%66.61%
2.511.85%88.15%
3.53.29%96.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.34%35.66%
1.527.57%72.43%
2.58.61%91.39%
3.52.10%97.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Watford
Score012345
0
10.78%
12.84%
7.64%
3.03%
0.90%
0.21%
1
11.18%
13.31%
7.92%
3.14%
0.94%
0.22%
2
5.79%
6.90%
4.11%
1.63%
0.48%
0.12%
3
2.00%
2.38%
1.42%
0.56%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.52%
0.62%
0.37%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-011.18%
2-05.79%
2-16.90%
3-02.00%
3-12.38%
3-21.42%
4-00.52%
4-10.62%
4-20.37%
4-30.15%
5-00.11%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-010.78%
1-113.31%
2-24.11%
3-30.56%
Watford
0-112.84%
0-27.64%
1-27.92%
0-33.03%
1-33.14%
2-31.63%
0-40.90%
1-40.94%
2-40.48%
3-40.17%
0-50.21%
1-50.22%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Watford
Score01234
0
35.66%
19.66%
5.42%
1.00%
0.14%
1
17.11%
9.43%
2.60%
0.48%
0.07%
2
4.11%
2.26%
0.62%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.66%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-017.11%
2-04.11%
2-12.26%
3-00.66%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-035.66%
1-19.43%
2-20.62%
Watford
0-119.66%
0-25.42%
1-22.60%
0-31.00%
1-30.48%
2-30.11%
0-40.14%
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