Middlesbrough at Luton Town

Updated

Middlesbrough

32.0%28.3%39.7%
Middlesbrough WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Hull City-235
W 1-5 vs Norwich City-105
T 2-2 at Bristol City+100
L 2-1 vs Burnley+180
L 2-4 at Huddersfield-145
Luton Town
Money Line
T 1-1 at Reading-135
W 2-0 at Rotherham United+100
W 1-3 vs Blackpool-230
T 0-0 at Millwall+200
W 0-2 vs Watford+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+231+251+235+215+262+215+262+243.6
Luton Town+123+118+120+117+119+117+120+136.7
Draw+245+237+220+220+238+220+238+249.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+205---+180+230+230+243.6
Luton Town+130---+115+120+120+136.7
Draw+250---+225+240+240+249.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +269 to +262
Luton Town ML moved from +128 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +190 to +180
Luton Town ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+101o2½+111o2¼-112o2¼-109o2½+112o2¼-109o2¼-109o2¼+101
Underu2½-119u2½-131u2¼-108u2¼-111u2½-132u2¼-111u2½-131u2¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+101
Under-----u2¼-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.05%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.67%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.08%
Exactly 320.32%
Exactly 55.37%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 034.27%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 029.31%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 222.07%
Exactly 39.03%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.51%
Exactly 219.53%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 060.91%
Exactly 130.20%
Exactly 27.49%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 056.66%
Exactly 132.19%
Exactly 29.14%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals12.37%
Wins by 3+ goals3.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals17.28%
Wins by 3+ goals5.81%
Wins by 4+ goals1.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal19.56%
Wins by 2 goals8.73%
Wins by 3 goals2.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal22.41%
Wins by 2 goals11.47%
Wins by 3 goals4.25%
Wins by 4 goals1.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.95%10.05%
1.566.87%33.13%
2.540.34%59.66%
3.520.03%79.97%
4.58.35%91.65%
5.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.73%34.27%
1.529.03%70.97%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.69%29.31%
1.534.72%65.28%
2.512.64%87.36%
3.53.62%96.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.49%34.51%
1.528.78%71.22%
2.59.24%90.76%
3.52.32%97.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Luton Town
Score012345
0
10.05%
12.33%
7.56%
3.09%
0.95%
0.23%
1
10.76%
13.20%
8.10%
3.31%
1.02%
0.25%
2
5.76%
7.07%
4.34%
1.77%
0.54%
0.13%
3
2.06%
2.52%
1.55%
0.63%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.55%
0.68%
0.41%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-010.76%
2-05.76%
2-17.07%
3-02.06%
3-12.52%
3-21.55%
4-00.55%
4-10.68%
4-20.41%
4-30.17%
5-00.12%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-010.05%
1-113.20%
2-24.34%
3-30.63%
Luton Town
0-112.33%
0-27.56%
1-28.10%
0-33.09%
1-33.31%
2-31.77%
0-40.95%
1-41.02%
2-40.54%
3-40.19%
0-50.23%
1-50.25%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Luton Town
Score01234
0
34.51%
19.61%
5.57%
1.05%
0.15%
1
17.11%
9.72%
2.76%
0.52%
0.07%
2
4.24%
2.41%
0.68%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.70%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-017.11%
2-04.24%
2-12.41%
3-00.70%
3-10.40%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.51%
1-19.72%
2-20.68%
Luton Town
0-119.61%
0-25.57%
1-22.76%
0-31.05%
1-30.52%
2-30.13%
0-40.15%