Middlesbrough at Luton Town

Updated

Middlesbrough

32.0%28.3%39.7%
Middlesbrough WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Hull City-235
W 1-5 vs Norwich City-105
T 2-2 at Bristol City+100
L 2-1 vs Burnley+180
L 2-4 at Huddersfield-145
Luton Town
Money Line
T 1-1 at Reading-135
W 2-0 at Rotherham United+100
W 1-3 vs Blackpool-230
T 0-0 at Millwall+200
W 0-2 vs Watford+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+231+251+235+215+262+215+262+243.6
Luton Town+123+118+120+117+119+117+120+136.7
Draw+245+237+220+220+238+220+238+249.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+205---+180+230+230+243.6
Luton Town+130---+115+120+120+136.7
Draw+250---+225+240+240+249.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +269 to +262
Luton Town ML moved from +128 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +190 to +180
Luton Town ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+101o2½+111o2¼-112o2¼-109o2½+112o2¼-109o2¼-109o2¼+101
Underu2½-119u2½-131u2¼-108u2¼-111u2½-132u2¼-111u2½-131u2¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+101
Under-----u2¼-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.05%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.67%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.08%
Exactly 320.32%
Exactly 55.37%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 034.27%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 029.31%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 222.07%
Exactly 39.03%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.51%
Exactly 219.53%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 060.91%
Exactly 130.20%
Exactly 27.49%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 056.66%
Exactly 132.19%
Exactly 29.14%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals12.37%
Wins by 3+ goals3.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals17.28%
Wins by 3+ goals5.81%
Wins by 4+ goals1.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal19.56%
Wins by 2 goals8.73%
Wins by 3 goals2.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal22.41%
Wins by 2 goals11.47%
Wins by 3 goals4.25%
Wins by 4 goals1.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.95%10.05%
1.566.87%33.13%
2.540.34%59.66%
3.520.03%79.97%
4.58.35%91.65%
5.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.73%34.27%
1.529.03%70.97%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.69%29.31%
1.534.72%65.28%
2.512.64%87.36%
3.53.62%96.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.49%34.51%
1.528.78%71.22%
2.59.24%90.76%
3.52.32%97.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Luton Town
Score012345
0
10.05%
12.33%
7.56%
3.09%
0.95%
0.23%
1
10.76%
13.20%
8.10%
3.31%
1.02%
0.25%
2
5.76%
7.07%
4.34%
1.77%
0.54%
0.13%
3
2.06%
2.52%
1.55%
0.63%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.55%
0.68%
0.41%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-010.76%
2-05.76%
2-17.07%
3-02.06%
3-12.52%
3-21.55%
4-00.55%
4-10.68%
4-20.41%
4-30.17%
5-00.12%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-010.05%
1-113.20%
2-24.34%
3-30.63%
Luton Town
0-112.33%
0-27.56%
1-28.10%
0-33.09%
1-33.31%
2-31.77%
0-40.95%
1-41.02%
2-40.54%
3-40.19%
0-50.23%
1-50.25%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Luton Town
Score01234
0
34.51%
19.61%
5.57%
1.05%
0.15%
1
17.11%
9.72%
2.76%
0.52%
0.07%
2
4.24%
2.41%
0.68%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.70%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-017.11%
2-04.24%
2-12.41%
3-00.70%
3-10.40%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.51%
1-19.72%
2-20.68%
Luton Town
0-119.61%
0-25.57%
1-22.76%
0-31.05%
1-30.52%
2-30.13%
0-40.15%
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