Stoke City at Swansea City

Updated

Stoke City

31.3%27.6%41.1%
Stoke City WinDrawSwansea City Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.29
0Final Score 0

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Portsmouth-115
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+450
L 3-1 vs Hull City+110
L 0-1 at Oxford United+130
W 1-0 at Plymouth Argyle+110
Swansea City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+395
T 1-1 vs Bristol City+135
W 2-1 at Coventry City+335
W 0-1 vs Norwich City+135
L 0-1 at West Bromwich Albion+320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+238+210+205+181+208+181+210+203.5
Swansea City+117+131+125+126+123+126+131+144.1
Draw+252+251+235+255+260+255+260+283.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+225---+170+215+215+203.5
Swansea City+120---+115+125+125+144.1
Draw+245---+245+245+245+283.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +216 to +210
Swansea City ML moved from +120 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +225 to +215
No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-119o2½-120o2½-116o2½-116o2½-116o2½-116o2½-105
Underu2½-105u2½+101u2½+100u2½-104u2½-102u2½-104u2½+101u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-105
Under-----u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.29%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 412.34%
Exactly 62.32%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.08%
Exactly 320.77%
Exactly 55.86%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 033.72%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.93%
Exactly 37.22%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 027.56%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 222.89%
Exactly 39.83%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.29%
Exactly 220.14%
Exactly 42.03%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.38%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 060.45%
Exactly 130.43%
Exactly 27.66%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 055.07%
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 29.80%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals12.14%
Wins by 3+ goals3.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals18.47%
Wins by 3+ goals6.45%
Wins by 4+ goals1.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Swansea City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal19.04%
Wins by 2 goals8.55%
Wins by 3 goals2.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal22.57%
Wins by 2 goals12.01%
Wins by 3 goals4.65%
Wins by 4 goals1.40%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.71%9.29%
1.568.63%31.37%
2.542.40%57.60%
3.521.62%78.38%
4.59.29%90.71%
5.53.42%96.58%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.28%33.72%
1.529.63%70.37%
2.59.70%90.30%
3.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.44%27.56%
1.536.92%63.08%
2.514.03%85.97%
3.54.20%95.80%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.71%33.29%
1.530.10%69.90%
2.59.96%90.04%
3.52.57%97.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Swansea City
Score012345
0
9.29%
11.98%
7.72%
3.31%
1.07%
0.28%
1
10.10%
13.02%
8.39%
3.60%
1.16%
0.30%
2
5.49%
7.08%
4.56%
1.96%
0.63%
0.16%
3
1.99%
2.56%
1.65%
0.71%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.54%
0.70%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.15%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-010.10%
2-05.49%
2-17.08%
3-01.99%
3-12.56%
3-21.65%
4-00.54%
4-10.70%
4-20.45%
4-30.19%
5-00.12%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-09.29%
1-113.02%
2-24.56%
3-30.71%
Swansea City
0-111.98%
0-27.72%
1-28.39%
0-33.31%
1-33.60%
2-31.96%
0-41.07%
1-41.16%
2-40.63%
3-40.23%
0-50.28%
1-50.30%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Swansea City
Score01234
0
33.29%
19.86%
5.92%
1.18%
0.18%
1
16.76%
10.00%
2.98%
0.59%
0.09%
2
4.22%
2.52%
0.75%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.71%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-016.76%
2-04.22%
2-12.52%
3-00.71%
3-10.42%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-033.29%
1-110.00%
2-20.75%
Swansea City
0-119.86%
0-25.92%
1-22.98%
0-31.18%
1-30.59%
2-30.15%
0-40.18%
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