Stoke City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Stoke City

17.4%22.3%60.2%
WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.85
0Final Score 2

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Hull City+110
L 0-1 at Oxford United+130
W 1-0 at Plymouth Argyle+110
L 2-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+155
L 0-3 at Watford+165
Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sunderland+185
T 1-1 vs Preston North End-215
W 2-0 at Cardiff City-115
T 2-2 vs Portsmouth-300
L 0-1 at Derby County+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+385+417+400+360+405+360+417+397.9
Middlesbrough-141-161-160-172-166-172-160-140.5
Draw+301+335+295+330+337+330+337+365.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+375---+415+450+450+397.9
Middlesbrough-145----225-185-185-140.5
Draw+305---+315+350+350+365.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 20.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +370 to +355
Middlesbrough ML moved from -165 to -171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 50.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Middlesbrough ML moved from -180 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-141o3-106o2¾-108o3-109o3-106o3-109o2¾-108o3+101
Underu2½+120u3-110u2¾-112u3-111u3-112u3-111u3-110u3-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+101
Under-----u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.2%
 
No50.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.55%
Exactly 224.33%
Exactly 415.07%
Exactly 63.73%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.85%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 58.21%
Exactly 71.45%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 041.54%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.03%
Exactly 34.69%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 015.76%
Exactly 129.12%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 316.57%
Exactly 47.65%
Exactly 52.83%
Exactly 60.87%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.30%
Exactly 222.55%
Exactly 42.99%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 39.49%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 066.58%
Exactly 127.08%
Exactly 25.51%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 042.51%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 215.55%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals5.53%
Wins by 3+ goals1.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals35.20%
Wins by 3+ goals16.60%
Wins by 4+ goals6.43%
Wins by 5+ goals2.07%
Wins by 6+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal11.87%
Wins by 2 goals4.20%
Wins by 3 goals1.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal24.96%
Wins by 2 goals18.59%
Wins by 3 goals10.17%
Wins by 4 goals4.36%
Wins by 5 goals1.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.45%6.55%
1.575.60%24.40%
2.551.27%48.73%
3.529.17%70.83%
4.514.10%85.90%
5.55.89%94.11%
6.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.46%41.54%
1.521.96%78.04%
2.55.94%94.06%
3.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.24%15.76%
1.555.12%44.88%
2.528.22%71.78%
3.511.65%88.35%
4.54.00%96.00%
5.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.70%28.30%
1.535.97%64.03%
2.513.43%86.57%
3.53.94%96.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
6.55%
12.10%
11.18%
6.88%
3.18%
1.17%
1
5.75%
10.63%
9.82%
6.05%
2.79%
1.03%
2
2.53%
4.67%
4.31%
2.66%
1.23%
0.45%
3
0.74%
1.37%
1.26%
0.78%
0.36%
0.13%
4
0.16%
0.30%
0.28%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Stoke City
1-05.75%
2-02.53%
2-14.67%
3-00.74%
3-11.37%
3-21.26%
4-00.16%
4-10.30%
4-20.28%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-06.55%
1-110.63%
2-24.31%
3-30.78%
Middlesbrough
0-112.10%
0-211.18%
1-29.82%
0-36.88%
1-36.05%
2-32.66%
0-43.18%
1-42.79%
2-41.23%
3-40.36%
0-51.17%
1-51.03%
2-50.45%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
28.30%
24.21%
10.36%
2.95%
0.63%
0.11%
1
11.51%
9.85%
4.21%
1.20%
0.26%
0.04%
2
2.34%
2.00%
0.86%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.32%
0.27%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-011.51%
2-02.34%
2-12.00%
3-00.32%
3-10.27%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-028.30%
1-19.85%
2-20.86%
Middlesbrough
0-124.21%
0-210.36%
1-24.21%
0-32.95%
1-31.20%
2-30.24%
0-40.63%
1-40.26%
0-50.11%
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