England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+675
-228
+675
-240
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-118
u2¾-122

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+306
-105
+290
-105
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-120
u2½-119

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+386
-142
+440
-170
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¾-109
u3-138

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+140
+219
+140
+220
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2-109
u2+103

Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+190
+157
+190
+150
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2¼+105
u2¼-115

Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Blackburn
Rotherham United		30.2%
42.3%		27.6%
+134
+239
+135
+205
2
2		-1.25257-1.25956-1.28902
Bristol City
Millwall		21.2%
54.5%		24.3%
+317
-109
+315
-110
1
0		-1.46629-1.47631-1.55032
Plymouth Argyle
Watford		15.7%
63.1%		21.2%
+417
-134
+370
-145
0
0		-1.39849-1.43944-1.55287
Sunderland
Preston North End		19.5%
56.0%		24.4%
+190
+156
+180
+160
1
2		-0.96176-0.99074-0.57930
Swansea City
West Bromwich Albion		18.7%
58.2%		23.1%
+263
+110
+245
+110
2
3		-0.77475-0.79239-0.54173
Norwich City
Southampton		15.6%
63.8%		20.6%
+273
+105
+300
+100
4
4		-1.32618-1.29814-1.58017
Middlesbrough
Coventry City		28.2%
44.3%		27.5%
+202
+141
+190
+140
0
3		-0.91412-0.92553-0.81464
Ipswich Town
Sunderland		31.5%
39.2%		29.2%
+150
+192
+155
+180
2
1		-0.94729-0.98709-1.15420
Cardiff City
Leeds United		8.1%
77.6%		14.3%
+572
-202
+575
-225
2
2		-1.56394-1.59939-1.94505
Coventry City
Leicester City		10.3%
73.4%		16.3%
+448
-123
+400
-125
1
2		-0.57208-0.60633-0.30876
Rotherham United
Stoke City		18.5%
57.8%		23.7%
+473
-146
+430
-150
1
4		-0.54521-0.56136-0.54905
Birmingham City
Swansea City		17.2%
60.4%		22.4%
+332
-106
+320
-115
1
1		-1.31252-1.33044-1.49397
Queens Park Rangers
Watford		20.6%
55.5%		23.8%
+354
-119
+315
-115
0
4		-0.64050-0.67794-0.58852
Hull City
Norwich City		19.9%
56.4%		23.7%
+368
-120
+380
-140
1
2		-0.62618-0.58913-0.57341
Millwall
Middlesbrough		26.8%
45.5%		27.7%
+246
+122
+260
+110
1
0		-1.27347-1.33207-1.31815
West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn		34.0%
37.6%		28.4%
+157
+191
+165
+175
1
2		-1.10331-1.06372-1.06314
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.89468 
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.88311 
DRatings74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.86401
0.03067
0.01910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.