England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+702
-233
+685
-245
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-119
u2¾-122

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+306
-105
+310
-110
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-120
u2½-119

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+384
-142
+430
-155
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¾-110
u3-138

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+141
+224
+140
+220
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2-110
u2+103

Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+190
+157
+200
+150
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2-134
u2¼-120

Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Preston North End
Bristol City		29.3%
43.5%		27.2%
+266
+115
+260
+105
1
1		-1.25572-1.30280-1.30254
Huddersfield
Plymouth Argyle		29.9%
43.2%		26.8%
+241
+135
+230
+120
1
3		-0.86555-0.83884-0.83824
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday		42.1%
31.1%		26.7%
+128
+226
+130
+210
2
1		-0.86287-0.88312-0.86420
Luton Town
Coventry City		25.2%
48.6%		26.2%
+147
+249
+150
+251
6
5		-0.92864-0.93435-1.37976
Coventry City
Middlesbrough		21.5%
53.7%		24.8%
+350
-108
+375
-120
1
0		-1.53090-1.60699-1.53763
Sunderland
Luton Town		21.6%
53.5%		24.9%
+346
-105
+310
-110
0
2		-0.68239-0.69485-0.62640
Middlesbrough
Coventry City		31.0%
40.8%		28.2%
+199
+156
+190
+155
0
0		-1.23650-1.20041-1.26663
Luton Town
Sunderland		30.8%
41.0%		28.1%
+194
+173
+180
+170
1
2		-1.02890-1.04214-0.89084
Sheffield United
Birmingham City		46.0%
26.1%		27.8%
-104
+289
-110
+295
2
1		-0.71304-0.69631-0.77562
West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City		31.3%
40.7%		28.0%
+136
+202
+135
+185
2
3		-1.12936-1.09646-0.89801
Stoke City
Watford		21.1%
53.7%		25.2%
+185
+162
+180
+145
0
2		-0.98452-0.94585-0.62202
Cardiff City
Burnley		8.9%
75.0%		16.1%
+981
-347
+900
-360
0
3		-0.28212-0.29323-0.28804
Sunderland
Preston North End		30.0%
41.5%		28.5%
+103
+264
-105
+290
3
0		-0.73608-0.71439-1.20411
Coventry City
Middlesbrough		21.5%
53.7%		24.8%
+228
+131
+200
+130
1
1		-1.27597-1.31557-1.39457
Bristol City
Queens Park Rangers		24.6%
51.2%		24.1%
+176
+160
+165
+150
2
0		-1.05137-1.02460-1.40056
Blackburn
Millwall		20.0%
55.8%		24.2%
+313
-108
+295
-115
4
3		-1.44248-1.42366-1.61149
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.89468 
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.88311 
DRatings74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.86401
0.03067
0.01910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.