England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+689
-232
+725
-250
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-127
u2¾-122

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+306
-105
+315
-110
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-120
u2½-119

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+384
-141
+380
-150
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¾-110
u3-138

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+141
+224
+140
+220
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2-107
u2+100

Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+193
+159
+190
+160
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2-134
u2¼-120

Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Blackpool
Norwich City		10.2%
71.9%		17.9%
+485
-186
+495
-200
1
0		-1.79691-1.83421-2.28740
Hull City
Luton Town		15.5%
63.7%		20.8%
+338
-114
+315
-115
0
0		-1.34711-1.34335-1.57012
Sheffield United
Huddersfield		52.6%
21.6%		25.9%
+125
+274
+130
+260
0
1		-1.35596-1.33120-1.53363
Luton Town
Blackburn		33.0%
39.0%		28.0%
+251
+125
+225
+120
1
1		-1.24904-1.28913-1.27300
Middlesbrough
Rotherham United		48.0%
25.3%		26.7%
+109
+278
-105
+290
0
1		-1.34657-1.41005-1.37275
Huddersfield
Cardiff City		21.8%
53.8%		24.3%
+226
+152
+215
+140
2
1		-1.20454-1.19769-1.52234
Norwich City
West Bromwich Albion		29.3%
42.6%		28.0%
+332
-112
+290
-105
1
2		-0.66489-0.71812-0.85221
Watford
Sunderland		32.0%
39.0%		29.0%
+365
-121
+375
-135
2
2		-1.35845-1.37215-1.23932
Swansea City
Hull City		38.2%
33.9%		27.9%
-107
+306
-110
+295
1
1		-1.35709-1.34442-1.27816
Preston North End
Sheffield United		11.8%
68.0%		20.2%
+398
-135
+380
-135
1
4		-0.58742-0.59597-0.38506
Burnley
Bristol City		54.7%
21.2%		24.1%
+109
+260
+105
+255
2
1		-0.77440-0.76776-0.60417
Queens Park Rangers
Stoke City		23.4%
51.9%		24.7%
+303
+106
+295
-105
1
0		-1.41774-1.42354-1.45286
Birmingham City
Coventry City		17.7%
59.4%		22.9%
+579
-188
+550
-195
0
2		-0.45653-0.46291-0.52003
Millwall
Blackpool		41.3%
29.9%		28.8%
+126
+243
+120
+230
3
2		-0.84227-0.83884-0.88390
Cardiff City
Rotherham United		30.5%
41.7%		27.7%
+177
+209
+165
+205
2
1		-1.04444-1.02340-1.18735
West Bromwich Albion
Sheffield United		20.7%
53.8%		25.6%
+323
-108
+320
-115
0
2		-0.69437-0.67523-0.62018
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.89468 
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.88311 
DRatings74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.86401
0.03067
0.01910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.