England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Luton Town
Leeds United 		11.1%
71.6%		17.3%
+654
-219
+725
-250
0.78
2.31		3.09
o2½-118
u2¾-122

Queens Park Rangers
Cardiff City 		25.1%
50.0%		25.0%
+306
-105
+315
-110
1.05
1.60		2.65
o2¼-120
u2½-119

Volatility Bet Value Active
Blackburn
Middlesbrough 		13.5%
67.2%		19.3%
+396
-143
+380
-150
0.84
2.13		2.97
o2¾-110
u3-138

Millwall
Portsmouth 		34.1%
36.8%		29.1%
+141
+224
+140
+220
1.07
1.13		2.20
o2-107
u2-103

Swansea City
Derby County 		30.3%
41.8%		27.9%
+186
+163
+190
+160
1.05
1.29		2.34
o2-134
u2¼-120

Games for Nov 26, 2024
Games for Nov 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Burnley
Blackburn		51.6%
23.0%		25.4%
+127
+266
+120
+240
1
0		-0.83824-0.83884-0.66215
Middlesbrough
Luton Town		32.0%
39.7%		28.3%
+262
+120
+230
+120
1
2		-0.81475-0.83884-0.92344
Sunderland
West Bromwich Albion		18.4%
58.3%		23.4%
+343
-110
+295
-110
2
1		-1.51168-1.42341-1.69554
Blackburn
Preston North End		28.3%
44.3%		27.4%
+192
+166
+185
+165
1
1		-1.17380-1.18097-1.29528
Rotherham United
Bristol City		21.8%
54.0%		24.2%
+290
+100
+275
+100
1
2		-0.73208-0.74421-0.61620
Watford
Hull City		41.2%
30.9%		27.8%
+162
+188
+165
+170
0
1		-1.08833-1.04276-1.17328
Stoke City
Cardiff City		31.3%
41.0%		27.7%
+210
+154
+210
+140
1
1		-1.20021-1.21362-1.28287
Millwall
Wigan Athletic		39.9%
31.8%		28.3%
+118
+275
+100
+295
1
2		-1.34888-1.42412-1.14514
Reading
Coventry City		15.7%
63.4%		20.8%
+784
-241
+700
-235
1
2		-0.37532-0.40449-0.45550
Swansea City
Norwich City		18.5%
58.2%		23.3%
+291
-105
+285
-110
3
0		-1.40177-1.39707-1.68859
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley		9.8%
73.6%		16.6%
+885
-278
+725
-280
2
1		-2.31851-2.15935-2.31963
Luton Town
Reading		38.3%
34.0%		27.6%
-120
+428
-135
+420
1
1		-1.27314-1.30394-1.28591
Hull City
Middlesbrough		11.8%
70.0%		18.3%
+667
-234
+640
-235
1
3		-0.38632-0.40494-0.35726
Cardiff City
Watford		17.0%
60.6%		22.3%
+307
+114
+290
+105
3
1		-1.42321-1.40715-1.77013
Coventry City
Blackburn		33.9%
37.7%		28.4%
+185
+157
+190
+150
1
1		-1.26150-1.22984-1.25839
Preston North End
Swansea City		19.1%
56.9%		24.0%
+278
+108
+265
+105
2
4		-0.76293-0.76819-0.56409
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.89468 
Sportsbooks74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.88311 
DRatings74-1-2 (0.714)0-0.86401
0.03067
0.01910

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.