England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPortsmouth
Blackburn
19.2%
58.0%
22.8%
+335
-130
+345
-160
0.94
1.81
2.75
o2½-132
u2¾-116

Games for Nov 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Norwich City
26.1%
46.4%
27.4%
+246
+108
+220
+120
1
4
-0.76748-0.83986-0.76699
Hull City
Stoke City
17.8%
59.5%
22.7%
+250
+118
+250
+110
3
1
-1.28168-1.30324-1.72513
West Bromwich Albion
Portsmouth
38.2%
33.5%
28.3%
-112
+324
-115
+320
3
0
-0.67623-0.67523-0.96202
Cardiff City
Derby County
27.6%
45.4%
27.0%
+233
+129
+220
+130
0
1
-0.86429-0.88201-0.78937
Coventry City
Watford
27.8%
44.2%
28.0%
+184
+156
+165
+165
1
1
-1.26837-1.27147-1.27389
Norwich City
Swansea City
26.7%
46.8%
26.6%
+203
+137
+200
+135
0
1
-0.90148-0.90604-0.75997
Bristol City
Blackburn
27.1%
47.0%
25.9%
+216
+131
+245
+110
0
3
-0.87572-0.79239-0.75596
Sunderland
Plymouth Argyle
29.0%
44.6%
26.4%
-145
+407
-145
+380
2
3
-1.66047-1.61757-0.80723
Preston North End
Middlesbrough
13.9%
65.8%
20.3%
+502
-186
+565
-215
1
1
-1.55074-1.56647-1.59647
Queens Park Rangers
Sheffield Wednesday
34.2%
37.9%
27.9%
+220
+130
+215
+130
1
1
-1.26855-1.25846-1.27708
Burnley
Leeds United
19.0%
58.2%
22.8%
+450
-152
+380
-140
1
0
-1.73852-1.61873-1.65957
Luton Town
Millwall
33.9%
36.5%
29.6%
+200
+150
+170
+160
1
0
-1.13794-1.04537-1.08099
Stoke City
Oxford United
43.0%
30.1%
27.0%
+133
+213
+130
+210
0
1
-1.17964-1.18159-1.20138
Sheffield United
Hull City
35.5%
34.9%
29.6%
+122
+225
+115
+235
2
0
-0.83131-0.81758-1.03614
Watford
Sheffield United
20.5%
54.1%
25.4%
+330
-120
+335
-130
0
1
-0.63809-0.62077-0.61443
Hull City
Leeds United
8.1%
77.7%
14.2%
+632
-219
+725
-255
0
2
-0.41095-0.36962-0.25282
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.10605 
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.08912 
DRatings92-1-6 (0.556)0-1.10726
-0.00121
-0.01814

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.