England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPortsmouth
Blackburn 		19.2%
58.0%		22.8%
+335
-130
+345
-160
0.94
1.81		2.75
o2½-132
u2¾-116

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Swansea City
West Bromwich Albion		21.0%
55.0%		24.0%
+315
-108
+320
-115
0
1		-0.69491-0.67523-0.59806
Sunderland
Portsmouth		23.4%
51.5%		25.1%
+100
+289
+105
+260
3
1		-0.72592-0.76787-1.45290
Stoke City
Plymouth Argyle		47.2%
26.9%		25.9%
+111
+224
+110
+220
1
0		-0.78058-0.79248-0.75124
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall		19.1%
56.8%		24.1%
+218
+140
+205
+140
0
3		-0.91447-0.92637-0.56475
Bristol City
Derby County		28.0%
45.1%		26.9%
+161
+188
+150
+190
0
3		-1.09333-1.11590-0.79655
Preston North End
Oxford United		33.0%
39.1%		27.9%
+171
+171
+175
+160
1
3		-1.03282-0.99701-0.94005
Norwich City
Coventry City		23.9%
49.6%		26.5%
+270
-102
+300
-115
1
0		-1.34270-1.43658-1.43138
Blackburn
Burnley		12.4%
68.4%		19.2%
+254
+120
+290
-110
1
1		-1.26284-1.35759-1.65010
Middlesbrough
Cardiff City		43.1%
30.0%		26.9%
+107
+260
-115
+290
2
0		-0.76036-0.67548-0.84155
Queens Park Rangers
Luton Town		19.7%
57.1%		23.2%
+299
-108
+280
-110
2
1		-1.42171-1.38725-1.62633
Cardiff City
Swansea City		24.7%
50.3%		25.0%
+288
+103
+295
-105
1
1		-1.29229-1.30258-1.38593
Burnley
Sunderland		54.0%
21.2%		24.9%
+202
+149
+190
+155
0
1		-0.93545-0.97096-1.55329
Derby County
Watford		22.3%
51.8%		25.8%
+323
-109
+300
-110
1
2		-0.68534-0.69693-0.65778
Oxford United
Blackburn		20.5%
56.5%		22.9%
+421
-156
+400
-155
1
2		-0.53236-0.54829-0.57026
Luton Town
Preston North End		31.7%
39.6%		28.7%
+143
+197
+140
+190
0
1		-1.12113-1.11480-0.92568
Sheffield United
Norwich City		31.9%
38.5%		29.6%
+160
+168
+155
+165
1
1		-1.31584-1.31692-1.21632
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.10605 
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.08912 
DRatings92-1-6 (0.556)0-1.10726
-0.00121
-0.01814

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.