England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPortsmouth
Blackburn
19.2%
58.0%
22.8%
+335
-130
+345
-160
0.94
1.81
2.75
o2½-132
u2¾-116

Games for Nov 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
11.3%
70.9%
17.8%
+872
-319
+770
-300
2
2
-1.80102-1.73528-1.72828
West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City
22.9%
51.5%
25.5%
+180
+163
+180
+155
2
1
-1.06924-1.08063-1.47233
Plymouth Argyle
Queens Park Rangers
19.5%
58.5%
22.1%
+386
-135
+405
-150
1
1
-1.44774-1.42366-1.51181
Coventry City
Bristol City
30.2%
42.4%
27.4%
+173
+160
+180
+145
1
1
-1.31931-1.30254-1.29448
Millwall
Hull City
24.9%
48.6%
26.5%
+208
+145
+220
+130
0
0
-1.23344-1.24299-1.32867
Leeds United
Sheffield Wednesday
68.3%
13.0%
18.7%
-101
+295
-110
+310
2
0
-0.71883-0.69485-0.38066
Sheffield Wednesday
Sunderland
23.3%
51.4%
25.3%
+229
+126
+235
+115
0
4
-0.84700-0.81758-0.66565
Cardiff City
Burnley
12.7%
68.0%
19.3%
+451
-163
+520
-165
0
5
-0.51539-0.50124-0.38631
Queens Park Rangers
Sheffield United
19.4%
57.0%
23.6%
+401
-137
+380
-140
2
2
-1.40789-1.39821-1.44282
Stoke City
Watford
31.7%
39.4%
28.8%
+178
+172
+165
+170
0
3
-1.02879-1.04276-0.93034
Preston North End
Swansea City
21.9%
53.4%
24.7%
+294
+100
+275
+100
0
3
-0.72202-0.74421-0.62710
Hull City
Plymouth Argyle
44.0%
29.6%
26.4%
+139
+186
+135
+180
1
1
-1.35985-1.35993-1.33041
Millwall
Bristol City
25.7%
48.0%
26.3%
+301
+106
+315
+105
3
4
-0.75897-0.74915-0.73501
Blackburn
Norwich City
23.6%
50.9%
25.5%
+193
+146
+205
+135
2
2
-1.28157-1.27022-1.36822
Middlesbrough
Derby County
44.4%
28.2%
27.4%
-105
+289
+105
+250
0
1
-1.39235-1.30280-1.26670
Luton Town
Portsmouth
33.3%
38.3%
28.4%
+107
+250
+115
+225
0
0
-1.35856-1.33025-1.25913
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.10605 
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.08912 
DRatings92-1-6 (0.556)0-1.10726
-0.00121
-0.01814

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.