England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPortsmouth
Blackburn 		19.2%
58.0%		22.8%
+335
-130
+345
-160
0.94
1.81		2.75
o2½-132
u2¾-116

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leeds United
West Bromwich Albion		46.7%
27.4%		25.9%
+113
+247
+115
+240
0
0		-1.32186-1.28627-1.35043
Oxford United
Coventry City		16.6%
61.9%		21.5%
+404
-142
+390
-155
2
3		-0.56063-0.54938-0.48034
Burnley
Luton Town		45.8%
26.7%		27.4%
+158
+175
+155
+170
4
1		-0.98567-0.98714-0.78060
Plymouth Argyle
Sheffield Wednesday		23.9%
51.3%		24.8%
+392
-133
+375
-140
0
4		-0.58881-0.58805-0.66832
Bristol City
Hull City		28.3%
45.2%		26.4%
+166
+183
+190
+145
1
1		-1.22574-1.25917-1.33112
West Bromwich Albion
Queens Park Rangers		46.0%
27.7%		26.3%
+178
+174
+190
+155
3
1		-1.05616-1.11301-0.77546
Swansea City
Middlesbrough		18.8%
58.5%		22.6%
+408
-135
+310
-120
0
1		-0.57059-0.65732-0.53544
Watford
Millwall		28.8%
42.8%		28.4%
+223
+141
+215
+135
3
2		-1.20791-1.19683-1.24615
Coventry City
Stoke City		25.1%
48.2%		26.7%
+188
+152
+180
+145
0
1		-0.95597-0.94585-0.72904
Sunderland
Cardiff City		22.7%
52.6%		24.8%
+153
+198
+155
+190
2
0		-0.96152-0.98438-1.48470
Derby County
Blackburn		27.3%
45.8%		26.9%
+243
+120
+225
+120
2
4		-0.81975-0.83924-0.78189
Sheffield United
Preston North End		42.1%
29.1%		28.8%
+130
+228
+130
+215
2
0		-0.86202-0.88242-0.86610
Southampton
Leeds United		22.0%
55.1%		22.8%
+238
+128
+220
+130
1
0		-1.24438-1.21049-1.51331
West Bromwich Albion
Southampton		21.1%
55.4%		23.4%
+427
-139
+415
-145
1
3		-0.57325-0.57586-0.58989
Norwich City
Leeds United		10.7%
72.1%		17.2%
+490
-165
+465
-170
0
4		-0.50357-0.51191-0.32699
Southampton
West Bromwich Albion		31.9%
40.9%		27.2%
+155
+190
+150
+185
0
0		-1.24171-1.25716-1.30302
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.10605 
Sportsbooks93-0-6 (0.667)0-1.08912 
DRatings92-1-6 (0.556)0-1.10726
-0.00121
-0.01814

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.