England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Leeds United
Swansea City 		51.5%
24.2%		24.3%
-119
+352
-125
+340
1.67
1.07		2.74
o2¼-124
u2½-118

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Nov 23, 2024
Games for Nov 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leeds United
Norwich City		50.2%
24.6%		25.2%
+125
+229
+120
+230
0
0		-1.28215-1.27418-1.37924
Cardiff City
Rotherham United		27.2%
46.1%		26.7%
+123
+238
+120
+230
2
5		-1.24981-1.24434-0.77536
Watford
Middlesbrough		19.4%
57.0%		23.6%
+332
-128
+340
-140
1
3		-0.60510-0.58927-0.56214
Norwich City
Birmingham City		32.1%
39.1%		28.8%
+176
+147
+175
+135
0
1		-0.94240-0.90217-0.93966
Bristol City
Stoke City		20.1%
56.4%		23.6%
+219
+122
+250
+105
0
4		-0.83255-0.76787-0.57339
Queens Park Rangers
Coventry City		18.0%
59.5%		22.5%
+260
-101
+190
+135
2
1		-1.30893-1.11544-1.71330
Millwall
Swansea City		23.8%
50.3%		25.9%
+280
+105
+270
+100
1
0		-1.36109-1.35899-1.43376
Hull City
Plymouth Argyle		30.5%
42.9%		26.5%
-120
+295
-115
+275
0
1		-1.40601-1.36336-0.84621
Sheffield Wednesday
Sunderland		28.1%
44.7%		27.1%
+220
+132
+180
+160
2
0		-1.19356-1.07790-1.26986
Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion		12.7%
67.6%		19.7%
+645
-198
+800
-245
0
3		-0.44768-0.39217-0.39147
Southampton
Leeds United		22.0%
55.1%		22.8%
+378
-145
+425
-175
2
1		-1.58988-1.70849-1.51331
Blackburn
Leicester City		11.8%
70.9%		17.3%
+500
-185
+460
-170
2
0		-1.82437-1.77355-2.14072
Ipswich Town
Coventry City		28.3%
44.0%		27.7%
-124
+325
-130
+325
2
1		-0.62133-0.61687-1.26348
Leicester City
Preston North End		52.8%
22.9%		24.3%
-128
+330
-140
+335
3
0		-0.60888-0.58906-0.63906
Ipswich Town
Hull City		36.6%
34.8%		28.6%
+152
+185
+140
+185
3
3		-1.32614-1.31502-1.25246
Middlesbrough
Cardiff City		44.6%
28.8%		26.6%
-120
+343
-125
+315
4
1		-0.62895-0.63936-0.80764
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks62-0-4 (0.667)0-1.06513 
Sportsbooks62-0-4 (0.667)0-1.04056 
DRatings62-0-4 (0.667)0-1.04514
0.01999
-0.00458

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.