Watford at Luton Town

Updated

Watford

18.2%23.5%58.3%
WinDrawLuton Town Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.73
0Final Score 3

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Middlesbrough+250
L 0-3 at Preston North End+180
W 1-2 vs Sunderland+210
L 1-4 at Norwich City+220
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+165
Luton Town
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sheffield United+270
T 2-2 vs Oxford United-155
L 1-3 at Plymouth Argyle-115
W 1-2 vs Sheffield Wednesday-110
W 1-0 at Millwall+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+265+274+280+225+268+225+280+256.7
Luton Town+106+103-110-105-104-105+103+114.3
Draw+257+257+240+260+260+260+260+295.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+255---+215+260+260+256.7
Luton Town+105----110+105+105+114.3
Draw+255---+250+250+250+295.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Luton Town: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 30.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +240 to +225
Luton Town ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Luton Town: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-136o2½-138o2¾-110o2¾-107o2¾-109o2¾-107o2½-138o2¾+103
Underu2½+115u2½+117u2¾-110u2¾-113u2¾-111u2¾-113u2¾-110u2¾-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+103
Under-----u2¾-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.57%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 413.99%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.54%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 57.22%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 042.76%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.43%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 017.71%
Exactly 130.66%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 315.31%
Exactly 46.62%
Exactly 52.29%
Exactly 60.66%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.28%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 067.48%
Exactly 126.54%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 044.87%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 214.41%
Exactly 33.85%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals5.69%
Wins by 3+ goals1.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals32.80%
Wins by 3+ goals14.77%
Wins by 4+ goals5.43%
Wins by 5+ goals1.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Luton Town
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal12.48%
Wins by 2 goals4.34%
Wins by 3 goals1.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal25.42%
Wins by 2 goals18.04%
Wins by 3 goals9.34%
Wins by 4 goals3.77%
Wins by 5 goals1.25%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.43%7.57%
1.572.88%27.12%
2.547.67%52.33%
3.525.98%74.02%
4.511.98%88.02%
5.54.76%95.24%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.24%42.76%
1.520.92%79.08%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.29%17.71%
1.551.63%48.37%
2.525.10%74.90%
3.59.79%90.21%
4.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.72%30.28%
1.533.55%66.45%
2.511.94%88.06%
3.53.33%96.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Luton Town
Score012345
0
7.57%
13.11%
11.34%
6.55%
2.83%
0.98%
1
6.43%
11.14%
9.64%
5.56%
2.41%
0.83%
2
2.73%
4.73%
4.09%
2.36%
1.02%
0.35%
3
0.77%
1.34%
1.16%
0.67%
0.29%
0.10%
4
0.16%
0.28%
0.25%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Watford
1-06.43%
2-02.73%
2-14.73%
3-00.77%
3-11.34%
3-21.16%
4-00.16%
4-10.28%
4-20.25%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-07.57%
1-111.14%
2-24.09%
3-30.67%
Luton Town
0-113.11%
0-211.34%
1-29.64%
0-36.55%
1-35.56%
2-32.36%
0-42.83%
1-42.41%
2-41.02%
3-40.29%
0-50.98%
1-50.83%
2-50.35%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Luton Town
Score01234
0
30.28%
24.26%
9.72%
2.60%
0.52%
1
11.91%
9.55%
3.82%
1.02%
0.20%
2
2.34%
1.88%
0.75%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.31%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-011.91%
2-02.34%
2-11.88%
3-00.31%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-030.28%
1-19.55%
2-20.75%
Luton Town
0-124.26%
0-29.72%
1-23.82%
0-32.60%
1-31.02%
2-30.20%
0-40.52%
1-40.20%
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