Millwall at Middlesbrough

Updated

Millwall

13.9%20.6%65.6%
WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.78Projected Goals 1.98
0Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sheffield United+180
L 1-0 vs Coventry City+175
T 1-1 at Oxford United+110
T 1-1 vs Sunderland+130
T 1-1 at Stoke City+180
Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 1-3 at Leeds United+410
T 1-1 at Burnley+205
W 1-3 vs Hull City-155
L 1-0 vs Blackburn-140
W 6-2 at Oxford United-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+400+447+420+400+428+400+447+440.3
Middlesbrough-160-150-155-159-159-159-150-131.5
Draw+290+289+270+275+289+275+289+305.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+410---+425+465+465+440.3
Middlesbrough-145----190-155-155-131.5
Draw+280---+255+275+275+305.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +395 to +380
Middlesbrough ML moved from -152 to -159

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +400 to +380
Middlesbrough ML moved from -165 to -190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½+101o2½+105o2½+103o2½+103o2½+103o2½+105o2½+112
Underu2¼-105u2½-119u2½-125u2½-123u2½-125u2½-123u2½-119u2½-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+112
Under-----u2½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.33%
Exactly 224.10%
Exactly 415.31%
Exactly 63.89%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.46%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.45%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 045.86%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 213.94%
Exactly 33.62%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 013.79%
Exactly 127.33%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.87%
Exactly 48.85%
Exactly 53.51%
Exactly 61.16%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.86%
Exactly 222.75%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 39.69%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 069.70%
Exactly 125.16%
Exactly 24.54%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 039.97%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.81%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals3.99%
Wins by 3+ goals0.86%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals40.41%
Wins by 3+ goals20.24%
Wins by 4+ goals8.35%
Wins by 5+ goals2.87%
Wins by 6+ goals0.80%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Middlesbrough
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal9.86%
Wins by 2 goals3.12%
Wins by 3 goals0.72%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal25.04%
Wins by 2 goals20.17%
Wins by 3 goals11.89%
Wins by 4 goals5.49%
Wins by 5 goals2.07%
Wins by 6 goals0.65%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.67%6.33%
1.576.21%23.79%
2.552.11%47.89%
3.529.93%70.07%
4.514.62%85.38%
5.56.17%93.83%
6.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.14%45.86%
1.518.39%81.61%
2.54.45%95.55%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.21%13.79%
1.558.88%41.12%
2.531.82%68.18%
3.513.94%86.06%
4.55.09%94.91%
5.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.14%27.86%
1.536.54%63.46%
2.513.79%86.21%
3.54.09%95.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
6.33%
12.53%
12.41%
8.20%
4.06%
1.61%
1
4.93%
9.77%
9.68%
6.39%
3.16%
1.25%
2
1.92%
3.81%
3.77%
2.49%
1.23%
0.49%
3
0.50%
0.99%
0.98%
0.65%
0.32%
0.13%
Millwall
1-04.93%
2-01.92%
2-13.81%
3-00.50%
3-10.99%
3-20.98%
Draw
0-06.33%
1-19.77%
2-23.77%
3-30.65%
Middlesbrough
0-112.53%
0-212.41%
1-29.68%
0-38.20%
1-36.39%
2-32.49%
0-44.06%
1-43.16%
2-41.23%
3-40.32%
0-51.61%
1-51.25%
2-50.49%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
27.86%
25.55%
11.72%
3.58%
0.82%
0.15%
1
10.05%
9.22%
4.23%
1.29%
0.30%
0.05%
2
1.81%
1.66%
0.76%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-010.05%
2-01.81%
2-11.66%
3-00.22%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-027.86%
1-19.22%
2-20.76%
Middlesbrough
0-125.55%
0-211.72%
1-24.23%
0-33.58%
1-31.29%
2-30.23%
0-40.82%
1-40.30%
0-50.15%