Millwall at Stoke City

Updated

Millwall

24.3%26.7%49.0%
Millwall WinDrawStoke City Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.45
1Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Leeds United+350
W 0-1 vs Burnley+175
W 1-0 at Swansea City+190
W 0-1 vs Plymouth Argyle-170
T 1-1 vs Derby County+100
Stoke City
Money Line
W 2-0 at Blackburn+240
W 1-2 vs Derby County+115
L 0-2 at Sheffield United+400
T 2-2 vs Bristol City+150
T 1-1 vs Norwich City+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+188+228+215+210+231+210+231+235.4
Stoke City+155+133+130+129+124+129+133+147.7
Draw+233+226+210+210+222+210+226+235.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+190---+170+180+180+235.4
Stoke City+155---+135+165+165+147.7
Draw+220---+200+215+215+235.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +180 to +168
Stoke City ML moved from +142 to +136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Stoke City: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Stoke City: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +190 to +180
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-140o2¼+102o2¼+107o2¼+102o2¼+107o2¼+107o2¼+116
Underu2+119u2+119u2¼-122u2¼-127u2¼-124u2¼-127u2¼-122u2¼-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+116
Under-----u2¼-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.24%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 412.39%
Exactly 62.34%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.01%
Exactly 320.80%
Exactly 55.90%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 039.28%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.15%
Exactly 35.34%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 023.53%
Exactly 134.04%
Exactly 224.63%
Exactly 311.88%
Exactly 44.30%
Exactly 51.24%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.20%
Exactly 220.18%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 064.88%
Exactly 128.07%
Exactly 26.07%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 051.17%
Exactly 134.28%
Exactly 211.48%
Exactly 32.56%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals8.36%
Wins by 3+ goals2.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals24.23%
Wins by 3+ goals9.39%
Wins by 4+ goals2.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Stoke City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal15.95%
Wins by 2 goals6.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal24.70%
Wins by 2 goals14.84%
Wins by 3 goals6.47%
Wins by 4 goals2.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.76%9.24%
1.568.75%31.25%
2.542.54%57.46%
3.521.74%78.26%
4.59.36%90.64%
5.53.46%96.54%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.72%39.28%
1.524.02%75.98%
2.56.87%93.13%
3.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.47%23.53%
1.542.43%57.57%
2.517.80%82.20%
3.55.92%94.08%
4.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.80%33.20%
1.530.19%69.81%
2.510.01%89.99%
3.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Stoke City
Score012345
0
9.24%
13.37%
9.67%
4.67%
1.69%
0.49%
1
8.64%
12.50%
9.04%
4.36%
1.58%
0.46%
2
4.04%
5.84%
4.22%
2.04%
0.74%
0.21%
3
1.26%
1.82%
1.32%
0.63%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.29%
0.42%
0.31%
0.15%
0.05%
0.02%
Millwall
1-08.64%
2-04.04%
2-15.84%
3-01.26%
3-11.82%
3-21.32%
4-00.29%
4-10.42%
4-20.31%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.24%
1-112.50%
2-24.22%
3-30.63%
Stoke City
0-113.37%
0-29.67%
1-29.04%
0-34.67%
1-34.36%
2-32.04%
0-41.69%
1-41.58%
2-40.74%
3-40.23%
0-50.49%
1-50.46%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Stoke City
Score01234
0
33.20%
22.24%
7.45%
1.66%
0.28%
1
14.36%
9.62%
3.22%
0.72%
0.12%
2
3.11%
2.08%
0.70%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.45%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-014.36%
2-03.11%
2-12.08%
3-00.45%
3-10.30%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.20%
1-19.62%
2-20.70%
Stoke City
0-122.24%
0-27.45%
1-23.22%
0-31.66%
1-30.72%
2-30.16%
0-40.28%
1-40.12%
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