Millwall at Swansea City

Updated

Millwall

24.5%26.0%49.5%
Millwall WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.50
1Final Score 0

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Plymouth Argyle-170
T 1-1 vs Derby County+100
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+345
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+150
W 1-3 vs Preston North End-105
Swansea City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+270
L 0-1 at Blackburn+230
T 0-0 vs Stoke City+125
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+395
T 1-1 vs Bristol City+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+180+199+185+185+193+185+199+208.8
Swansea City+145+152+150+147+147+147+152+167.7
Draw+220+224+210+205+218+205+224+230.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+200---+185+190+190+208.8
Swansea City+140---+120+155+155+167.7
Draw+235---+210+215+215+230.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +185 to +175
Swansea City ML moved from +155 to +147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +200 to +185
No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-138o2¼+102o2¼+103o2¼+106o2¼+103o2-138o2¼+112
Underu2¼-115u2+117u2¼-122u2¼-123u2¼-128u2¼-123u2¼-122u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+112
Under-----u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.41%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 413.16%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.82%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 56.52%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 037.77%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.90%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 022.27%
Exactly 133.45%
Exactly 225.12%
Exactly 312.58%
Exactly 44.72%
Exactly 51.42%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.78%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 063.71%
Exactly 128.72%
Exactly 26.47%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 049.88%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 212.06%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals8.62%
Wins by 3+ goals2.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals24.98%
Wins by 3+ goals9.93%
Wins by 4+ goals3.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal15.83%
Wins by 2 goals6.32%
Wins by 3 goals1.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal24.42%
Wins by 2 goals15.05%
Wins by 3 goals6.76%
Wins by 4 goals2.37%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.59%8.41%
1.570.77%29.23%
2.545.00%55.00%
3.523.73%76.27%
4.510.56%89.44%
5.54.04%95.96%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.23%37.77%
1.525.45%74.55%
2.57.55%92.45%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.73%22.27%
1.544.29%55.71%
2.519.17%80.83%
3.56.59%93.41%
4.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.22%31.78%
1.531.79%68.21%
2.510.91%89.09%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Swansea City
Score012345
0
8.41%
12.63%
9.49%
4.75%
1.78%
0.54%
1
8.19%
12.30%
9.24%
4.63%
1.74%
0.52%
2
3.99%
5.99%
4.50%
2.25%
0.85%
0.25%
3
1.29%
1.94%
1.46%
0.73%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.31%
0.47%
0.36%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Millwall
1-08.19%
2-03.99%
2-15.99%
3-01.29%
3-11.94%
3-21.46%
4-00.31%
4-10.47%
4-20.36%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.41%
1-112.30%
2-24.50%
3-30.73%
Swansea City
0-112.63%
0-29.49%
1-29.24%
0-34.75%
1-34.63%
2-32.25%
0-41.78%
1-41.74%
2-40.85%
3-40.27%
0-50.54%
1-50.52%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Swansea City
Score01234
0
31.78%
22.10%
7.69%
1.78%
0.31%
1
14.33%
9.96%
3.46%
0.80%
0.14%
2
3.23%
2.25%
0.78%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.49%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Millwall
1-014.33%
2-03.23%
2-12.25%
3-00.49%
3-10.34%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.78%
1-19.96%
2-20.78%
Swansea City
0-122.10%
0-27.69%
1-23.46%
0-31.78%
1-30.80%
2-30.18%
0-40.31%
1-40.14%
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