Watford at Brentford

Updated

Watford

28.1%27.1%44.8%
Watford WinDrawBrentford Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.42
1Final Score 2

Brentford

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Manchester City+1300
L 2-1 vs Chelsea+975
L 2-4 at Leicester City+390
W 1-4 vs Manchester United+540
L 0-1 at Arsenal+650
Brentford
Money Line
T 2-2 at Leeds United+360
L 0-2 at Tottenham+430
W 0-1 vs Everton+127
T 3-3 at Newcastle United+190
L 2-1 vs Norwich City-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+290+185+185+199+186+185+199+196.0
Brentford-105+155+155+158+149+155+158+167.3
Draw+240+210+242+233+223+242+242+247.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+260-+183-+200+225+200+196.0
Brentford+110-+155-+120+130+155+167.3
Draw+235-+226-+190+225+226+247.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Brentford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +195 to +185
Brentford ML moved from +100 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Brentford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +209 to +180
Brentford ML moved from +143 to +136

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-105o2½-108o2½-101-o2½-108o2½-101o2½+106
Underu2½-112u2½-115u2½-112u2½-114-u2½-112u2½-112u2½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-110o2½+111-o2½-120o2½-105o2½+111o2½+106
Underu2½-110u2½-110u2½-131-u2½-110u2½-115u2½-110u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.97%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 411.74%
Exactly 62.08%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.98%
Exactly 320.37%
Exactly 55.41%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 041.10%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.24%
Exactly 34.81%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 024.25%
Exactly 134.36%
Exactly 224.34%
Exactly 311.49%
Exactly 44.07%
Exactly 51.15%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.38%
Exactly 219.59%
Exactly 41.86%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.97%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 066.26%
Exactly 127.27%
Exactly 25.61%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 051.89%
Exactly 134.04%
Exactly 211.17%
Exactly 32.44%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals7.83%
Wins by 3+ goals1.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals24.16%
Wins by 3+ goals9.24%
Wins by 4+ goals2.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.69%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Brentford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal15.74%
Wins by 2 goals5.88%
Wins by 3 goals1.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal25.09%
Wins by 2 goals14.92%
Wins by 3 goals6.41%
Wins by 4 goals2.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.03%9.97%
1.567.05%32.95%
2.540.55%59.45%
3.520.18%79.82%
4.58.44%91.56%
5.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.90%41.10%
1.522.35%77.65%
2.56.11%93.89%
3.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.75%24.25%
1.541.40%58.60%
2.517.06%82.94%
3.55.56%94.44%
4.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.62%34.38%
1.528.91%71.09%
2.59.32%90.68%
3.52.34%97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Brentford
Score012345
0
9.97%
14.12%
10.00%
4.72%
1.67%
0.47%
1
8.86%
12.55%
8.89%
4.20%
1.49%
0.42%
2
3.94%
5.58%
3.95%
1.87%
0.66%
0.19%
3
1.17%
1.65%
1.17%
0.55%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.26%
0.37%
0.26%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Watford
1-08.86%
2-03.94%
2-15.58%
3-01.17%
3-11.65%
3-21.17%
4-00.26%
4-10.37%
4-20.26%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.97%
1-112.55%
2-23.95%
3-30.55%
Brentford
0-114.12%
0-210.00%
1-28.89%
0-34.72%
1-34.20%
2-31.87%
0-41.67%
1-41.49%
2-40.66%
3-40.20%
0-50.47%
1-50.42%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Brentford
Score01234
0
34.38%
22.55%
7.40%
1.62%
0.27%
1
14.15%
9.28%
3.05%
0.67%
0.11%
2
2.91%
1.91%
0.63%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.40%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-014.15%
2-02.91%
2-11.91%
3-00.40%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-034.38%
1-19.28%
2-20.63%
Brentford
0-122.55%
0-27.40%
1-23.05%
0-31.62%
1-30.67%
2-30.14%
0-40.27%
1-40.11%