Watford at Arsenal

Updated

Watford

21.5%20.5%58.1%
Watford WinDrawArsenal Win
0.73Projected Goals 1.97
0Final Score 1

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Southampton+225
W 5-2 at Everton+380
L 5-0 vs Liverpool+736
L 0-1 at Leeds United+371
T 1-1 vs Newcastle United+115
Arsenal
Money Line
W 2-0 at Leicester City+177
W 1-3 vs Aston Villa+100
T 2-2 vs Crystal Palace-166
T 0-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+140
W 1-3 vs Tottenham+118

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+630+550+630+649+674+630+674+658.8
Arsenal-244-230-225-220-254-225-220-200.8
Draw+335+390+390+388+369+390+390+398.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+685-+617--+700+650+658.8
Arsenal-240--234---260-234-200.8
Draw+365-+358--+390+390+398.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +664 to +649
Arsenal ML moved from -232 to -254

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +700 to +650
Arsenal ML moved from -250 to -260

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-128o3+102o3-101o3+110-o3-101o3+110o2¾-114
Underu2¾+108u3-122u3-119u3-121-u3-119u3-119u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+100o3+100-o3-110o3+105o3+105o2¾-114
Underu3-120u3-120u3-120-u3-120u3-125u3-120u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.74%
Exactly 224.52%
Exactly 414.86%
Exactly 63.60%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.18%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 58.01%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 048.32%
Exactly 135.14%
Exactly 212.78%
Exactly 33.10%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 013.96%
Exactly 127.48%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.76%
Exactly 48.74%
Exactly 53.44%
Exactly 61.13%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.69%
Exactly 222.36%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 39.31%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 071.41%
Exactly 124.05%
Exactly 24.05%
Exactly 30.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 040.18%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.70%
Exactly 35.08%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals3.45%
Wins by 3+ goals0.67%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals41.19%
Wins by 3+ goals20.64%
Wins by 4+ goals8.50%
Wins by 5+ goals2.91%
Wins by 6+ goals0.81%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Arsenal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Watford
Wins by 1 goal9.36%
Wins by 2 goals2.79%
Wins by 3 goals0.59%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal25.35%
Wins by 2 goals20.55%
Wins by 3 goals12.13%
Wins by 4 goals5.59%
Wins by 5 goals2.10%
Wins by 6 goals0.66%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.26%6.74%
1.575.07%24.93%
2.550.55%49.45%
3.528.52%71.48%
4.513.66%86.34%
5.55.65%94.35%
6.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.68%48.32%
1.516.54%83.46%
2.53.76%96.24%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.04%13.96%
1.558.56%41.44%
2.531.50%68.50%
3.513.74%86.26%
4.54.99%95.01%
5.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.31%28.69%
1.535.48%64.52%
2.513.12%86.88%
3.53.81%96.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Arsenal
Score012345
0
6.74%
13.28%
13.08%
8.58%
4.23%
1.66%
1
4.90%
9.66%
9.51%
6.24%
3.07%
1.21%
2
1.78%
3.51%
3.46%
2.27%
1.12%
0.44%
3
0.43%
0.85%
0.84%
0.55%
0.27%
0.11%
Watford
1-04.90%
2-01.78%
2-13.51%
3-00.43%
3-10.85%
3-20.84%
Draw
0-06.74%
1-19.66%
2-23.46%
3-30.55%
Arsenal
0-113.28%
0-213.08%
1-29.51%
0-38.58%
1-36.24%
2-32.27%
0-44.23%
1-43.07%
2-41.12%
3-40.27%
0-51.66%
1-51.21%
2-50.44%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Arsenal
Score012345
0
28.69%
26.16%
11.93%
3.62%
0.83%
0.15%
1
9.66%
8.81%
4.02%
1.22%
0.28%
0.05%
2
1.63%
1.48%
0.68%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-09.66%
2-01.63%
2-11.48%
3-00.18%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-028.69%
1-18.81%
2-20.68%
Arsenal
0-126.16%
0-211.93%
1-24.02%
0-33.62%
1-31.22%
2-30.21%
0-40.83%
1-40.28%
0-50.15%