Newcastle Utd at Brighton

Updated

Newcastle United

23.8%22.5%53.8%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawBrighton Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.82
1Final Score 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Chelsea+740
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+328
L 3-2 vs Tottenham+251
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton+400
T 1-1 at Watford+254
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 2-2 at Liverpool+950
L 4-1 vs Manchester City+700
T 0-0 at Norwich City+110
T 0-0 vs Arsenal+225
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+383+450+495+511+456+495+511+525.9
Brighton-143-170-170-165-173-170-165-155.0
Draw+277+310+320+320+306+320+320+330.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+475-+485-+400+525+525+525.9
Brighton-165--175--190-180-175-155.0
Draw+300-+307-+270+300+307+330.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +500 to +485
Brighton ML moved from -173 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 10.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +490 to +480
Brighton ML moved from -174 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-112o2½-114o2½-105-o2½-114o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½-105u2½-108u2½-106u2½-105-u2½-106u2½-105u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-110o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu2½-115u2½-110u2½-110-u2½-120u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.26%
Exactly 224.97%
Exactly 414.32%
Exactly 63.29%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.03%
Exactly 321.83%
Exactly 57.51%
Exactly 71.23%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 044.71%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 214.49%
Exactly 33.89%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 016.23%
Exactly 129.51%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 316.26%
Exactly 47.39%
Exactly 52.69%
Exactly 60.82%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.68%
Exactly 221.90%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 38.87%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 068.89%
Exactly 125.67%
Exactly 24.78%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 043.09%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 215.27%
Exactly 34.29%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals4.81%
Wins by 3+ goals1.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals35.85%
Wins by 3+ goals16.82%
Wins by 4+ goals6.46%
Wins by 5+ goals2.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal11.29%
Wins by 2 goals3.73%
Wins by 3 goals0.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal25.52%
Wins by 2 goals19.03%
Wins by 3 goals10.36%
Wins by 4 goals4.40%
Wins by 5 goals1.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.74%7.26%
1.573.71%26.29%
2.548.74%51.26%
3.526.91%73.09%
4.512.59%87.41%
5.55.08%94.92%
6.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.29%44.71%
1.519.30%80.70%
2.54.81%95.19%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.77%16.23%
1.554.27%45.73%
2.527.43%72.57%
3.511.17%88.83%
4.53.78%96.22%
5.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.32%29.68%
1.534.27%65.73%
2.512.37%87.63%
3.53.51%96.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
7.26%
13.19%
12.00%
7.27%
3.31%
1.20%
1
5.84%
10.62%
9.66%
5.85%
2.66%
0.97%
2
2.35%
4.27%
3.89%
2.36%
1.07%
0.39%
3
0.63%
1.15%
1.04%
0.63%
0.29%
0.10%
4
0.13%
0.23%
0.21%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Newcastle United
1-05.84%
2-02.35%
2-14.27%
3-00.63%
3-11.15%
3-21.04%
4-00.13%
4-10.23%
4-20.21%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.26%
1-110.62%
2-23.89%
3-30.63%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-113.19%
0-212.00%
1-29.66%
0-37.27%
1-35.85%
2-32.36%
0-43.31%
1-42.66%
2-41.07%
3-40.29%
0-51.20%
1-50.97%
2-50.39%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
29.68%
24.99%
10.52%
2.95%
0.62%
0.10%
1
11.06%
9.31%
3.92%
1.10%
0.23%
0.04%
2
2.06%
1.74%
0.73%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-011.06%
2-02.06%
2-11.74%
3-00.26%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-029.68%
1-19.31%
2-20.73%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-124.99%
0-210.52%
1-23.92%
0-32.95%
1-31.10%
2-30.21%
0-40.62%
1-40.23%
0-50.10%