Chelsea at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Chelsea

58.9%19.2%22.0%
Chelsea WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
2.13Projected Goals 0.79
3Final Score 0

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-7 vs Norwich City-493
W 1-0 at Brentford-150
W 1-3 vs Southampton-235
L 1-0 vs Manchester City+191
W 3-0 at Tottenham+100
Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+328
L 3-2 vs Tottenham+251
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton+400
T 1-1 at Watford+254
T 1-1 vs Leeds United+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-275-235-215-218-252-230-218-201.7
Newcastle Utd+725+600+640+743+693+700+743+764.4
Draw+400+370+360+352+359+370+370+363.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-285--240---235-235-201.7
Newcastle Utd+825-+740--+690+740+764.4
Draw+390-+340--+350+350+363.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -243 to -249
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +768 to +746

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -225 to -235
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +685 to +675

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-115o2½-118o2½-109-o2½-118o2½-109o2½-103
Underu2¾-108u2½-105u2½-102u2½-102-u2½-102u2½-102u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-125o2½-118-o2½-125o2½-115o2½-115o2½-103
Underu2½+120u2½+105u2½-102-u2½-105u2½-105u2½+105u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+120 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.41%
Exactly 223.02%
Exactly 416.32%
Exactly 64.63%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.78%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.52%
Exactly 71.93%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 011.95%
Exactly 125.39%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 319.09%
Exactly 410.14%
Exactly 54.31%
Exactly 61.52%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 045.27%
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 214.21%
Exactly 33.75%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.92%
Exactly 223.63%
Exactly 43.59%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.99%
Exactly 310.63%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 037.40%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.09%
Exactly 35.93%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 069.29%
Exactly 125.42%
Exactly 24.66%
Exactly 30.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals43.75%
Wins by 3+ goals23.08%
Wins by 4+ goals10.12%
Wins by 5+ goals3.75%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals3.68%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals20.67%
Wins by 3 goals12.96%
Wins by 4 goals6.37%
Wins by 5 goals2.57%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal9.06%
Wins by 2 goals2.88%
Wins by 3 goals0.67%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.59%5.41%
1.578.80%21.20%
2.555.78%44.22%
3.533.41%66.59%
4.517.09%82.91%
5.57.57%92.43%
6.52.95%97.05%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.05%11.95%
1.562.65%37.35%
2.535.69%64.31%
3.516.59%83.41%
4.56.45%93.55%
5.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.73%45.27%
1.518.85%81.15%
2.54.63%95.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.08%25.92%
1.539.09%60.91%
2.515.46%84.54%
3.54.83%95.17%
4.51.24%98.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
5.41%
4.29%
1.70%
0.45%
1
11.50%
9.11%
3.61%
0.95%
2
12.21%
9.67%
3.83%
1.01%
3
8.64%
6.85%
2.71%
0.72%
4
4.59%
3.64%
1.44%
0.38%
5
1.95%
1.55%
0.61%
0.16%
Chelsea
1-011.50%
2-012.21%
2-19.67%
3-08.64%
3-16.85%
3-22.71%
4-04.59%
4-13.64%
4-21.44%
4-30.38%
5-01.95%
5-11.55%
5-20.61%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.41%
1-19.11%
2-23.83%
3-30.72%
Newcastle United
0-14.29%
0-21.70%
1-23.61%
0-30.45%
1-30.95%
2-31.01%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
25.92%
9.51%
1.74%
0.21%
1
25.49%
9.35%
1.72%
0.21%
2
12.53%
4.60%
0.84%
0.10%
3
4.11%
1.51%
0.28%
0.03%
4
1.01%
0.37%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-025.49%
2-012.53%
2-14.60%
3-04.11%
3-11.51%
3-20.28%
4-01.01%
4-10.37%
5-00.20%
Draw
0-025.92%
1-19.35%
2-20.84%
Newcastle United
0-19.51%
0-21.74%
1-21.72%
0-30.21%
1-30.21%
2-30.10%