Newcastle Utd at Watford

Updated

Newcastle United

28.6%26.5%44.9%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawWatford Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.46
1Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Leeds United+200
L 1-4 at Manchester United+1500
T 2-2 vs Southampton+140
L 0-2 at Aston Villa+320
L 4-2 vs West Ham United+235
Watford
Money Line
W 3-1 at Norwich City+236
L 2-0 vs Wolverhampton+250
L 0-1 at Tottenham+675
L 0-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+445
W 2-3 vs Aston Villa+258

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+195+250+255+258+244+255+258+266.8
Watford+145+115+112+116+109+112+116+120.7
Draw+235+245+255+256+244+255+256+264.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+230-+254-+220+250+254+266.8
Watford+125-+107-+100+115+115+120.7
Draw+230-+248-+215+235+248+264.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +278 to +259
Watford ML moved from +124 to +116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Newcastle Utd ML
Watford ML moved from +110 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-108o2½+100o2½-105-o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100
Underu2½-122u2½-112u2½-120u2½-105-u2½-120u2½-105u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-105o2½-108-o2½-110o2½-105o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½-120u2½-115u2½-112-u2½-120u2½-115u2½-112u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.18%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 412.44%
Exactly 62.36%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.93%
Exactly 320.84%
Exactly 55.94%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 039.54%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.02%
Exactly 35.27%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 023.23%
Exactly 133.91%
Exactly 224.75%
Exactly 312.04%
Exactly 44.39%
Exactly 51.28%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.10%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 42.06%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 065.07%
Exactly 127.96%
Exactly 26.01%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 050.87%
Exactly 134.38%
Exactly 211.62%
Exactly 32.62%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals8.18%
Wins by 3+ goals2.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals24.64%
Wins by 3+ goals9.61%
Wins by 4+ goals3.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal15.76%
Wins by 2 goals6.07%
Wins by 3 goals1.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.78%
Wins by 2 goals15.02%
Wins by 3 goals6.61%
Wins by 4 goals2.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.82%9.18%
1.568.89%31.11%
2.542.71%57.29%
3.521.87%78.13%
4.59.43%90.57%
5.53.49%96.51%
6.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.46%39.54%
1.523.78%76.22%
2.56.75%93.25%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.77%23.23%
1.542.86%57.14%
2.518.11%81.89%
3.56.07%93.93%
4.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.90%33.10%
1.530.30%69.70%
2.510.07%89.93%
3.52.62%97.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Watford
Score012345
0
9.18%
13.41%
9.78%
4.76%
1.74%
0.51%
1
8.52%
12.44%
9.08%
4.42%
1.61%
0.47%
2
3.95%
5.77%
4.21%
2.05%
0.75%
0.22%
3
1.22%
1.79%
1.30%
0.63%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.28%
0.41%
0.30%
0.15%
0.05%
0.02%
Newcastle United
1-08.52%
2-03.95%
2-15.77%
3-01.22%
3-11.79%
3-21.30%
4-00.28%
4-10.41%
4-20.30%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.18%
1-112.44%
2-24.21%
3-30.63%
Watford
0-113.41%
0-29.78%
1-29.08%
0-34.76%
1-34.42%
2-32.05%
0-41.74%
1-41.61%
2-40.75%
3-40.23%
0-50.51%
1-50.47%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Watford
Score01234
0
33.10%
22.37%
7.56%
1.70%
0.29%
1
14.22%
9.61%
3.25%
0.73%
0.12%
2
3.06%
2.07%
0.70%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.44%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-014.22%
2-03.06%
2-12.07%
3-00.44%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-033.10%
1-19.61%
2-20.70%
Watford
0-122.37%
0-27.56%
1-23.25%
0-31.70%
1-30.73%
2-30.16%
0-40.29%
1-40.12%