Aston Villa at Watford

Updated

Aston Villa

31.6%27.5%40.9%
Aston Villa WinDrawWatford Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.33
2Final Score 3

Watford

Last Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Chelsea+610
W 2-1 at Tottenham+435
L 2-3 at Crystal Palace+130
T 0-0 vs Everton+195
L 3-1 vs Manchester United+340
Watford
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+104-+120+120+119+120+120-
Watford+215-+245+260+246+260+260-
Draw+240-+225+230+217+230+230-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+120-+114-+110+120+120-
Watford+240-+258-+215+250+258-
Draw+230-+227-+200+225+227-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aston Villa: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +128 to +120
Watford ML moved from +252 to +246

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aston Villa: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +128 to +122
Watford ML moved from +260 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110-o2¼-115o2½+115-o2½+115o2¼-115-
Underu2½-110-u2¼-105u2½-135-u2½-135u2½-135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+115o2½+115-o2½-110o2½+100o2½+115-
Underu2½-120u2½-135u2½-135-u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.41%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 412.23%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.24%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 55.78%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 035.74%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.92%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 026.33%
Exactly 135.14%
Exactly 223.44%
Exactly 310.43%
Exactly 43.48%
Exactly 50.93%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.48%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 062.10%
Exactly 129.59%
Exactly 27.05%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 053.91%
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 210.29%
Exactly 32.12%
Exactly 40.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals10.71%
Wins by 3+ goals3.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals20.24%
Wins by 3+ goals7.30%
Wins by 4+ goals2.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal18.04%
Wins by 2 goals7.69%
Wins by 3 goals2.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.39%
Wins by 2 goals12.94%
Wins by 3 goals5.20%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.59%9.41%
1.568.35%31.65%
2.542.07%57.93%
3.521.37%78.63%
4.59.13%90.87%
5.53.35%96.65%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.26%35.74%
1.527.49%72.51%
2.58.57%91.43%
3.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.67%26.33%
1.538.54%61.46%
2.515.09%84.91%
3.54.66%95.34%
4.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.52%33.48%
1.529.89%70.11%
2.59.84%90.16%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Watford
Score012345
0
9.41%
12.56%
8.38%
3.73%
1.24%
0.33%
1
9.68%
12.92%
8.62%
3.84%
1.28%
0.34%
2
4.98%
6.65%
4.44%
1.97%
0.66%
0.18%
3
1.71%
2.28%
1.52%
0.68%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.44%
0.59%
0.39%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Aston Villa
1-09.68%
2-04.98%
2-16.65%
3-01.71%
3-12.28%
3-21.52%
4-00.44%
4-10.59%
4-20.39%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-09.41%
1-112.92%
2-24.44%
3-30.68%
Watford
0-112.56%
0-28.38%
1-28.62%
0-33.73%
1-33.84%
2-31.97%
0-41.24%
1-41.28%
2-40.66%
3-40.23%
0-50.33%
1-50.34%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Watford
Score01234
0
33.48%
20.68%
6.39%
1.32%
0.20%
1
15.95%
9.85%
3.04%
0.63%
0.10%
2
3.80%
2.35%
0.73%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.60%
0.37%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-015.95%
2-03.80%
2-12.35%
3-00.60%
3-10.37%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.48%
1-19.85%
2-20.73%
Watford
0-120.68%
0-26.39%
1-23.04%
0-31.32%
1-30.63%
2-30.15%
0-40.20%
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