Newcastle Utd at Crystal Palace

Updated

Newcastle United

32.5%28.2%39.4%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawCrystal Palace Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.26
1Final Score 1

Crystal Palace

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Tottenham+251
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton+400
T 1-1 at Watford+254
T 1-1 vs Leeds United+200
L 1-4 at Manchester United+1500
Crystal Palace
Money Line
T 2-2 at Arsenal+485
T 2-2 vs Leicester City+170
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+185
L 0-3 at Liverpool+1030
W 0-3 vs Tottenham+310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+277+320+315+324+316+315+323+330.8
Crystal Palace-106-115-108-104-118-108-104+103.6
Draw+268+250+265+260+260+265+265+261.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+295-+328-+275+315+328+330.8
Crystal Palace-110--117--135-115-115+103.6
Draw+265-+257-+245+265+265+261.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 40.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +330 to +315
Crystal Palace ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 40.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Crystal Palace: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +298 to +290
No Steam Moves On Crystal Palace ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2¼-125o2½+105o2¼-115-o2½+105o2¼-115o2¼-114
Underu2½-114u2¼+105u2½-125u2¼+105-u2½-125u2½-125u2¼+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-105o2½+110-o2½-115o2½-105o2½+110o2¼-114
Underu2½-105u2½-115u2½-130-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2¼+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-105 to u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.05%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.67%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.10%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 55.36%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 035.41%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.08%
Exactly 36.60%
Exactly 41.71%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 028.39%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.52%
Exactly 219.53%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 061.84%
Exactly 129.72%
Exactly 27.14%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 055.82%
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 29.49%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals11.48%
Wins by 3+ goals3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals18.39%
Wins by 3+ goals6.33%
Wins by 4+ goals1.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Crystal Palace
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal18.92%
Wins by 2 goals8.20%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal22.94%
Wins by 2 goals12.06%
Wins by 3 goals4.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.36%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.95%10.05%
1.566.85%33.15%
2.540.32%59.68%
3.520.01%79.99%
4.58.34%91.66%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.59%35.41%
1.527.83%72.17%
2.58.74%91.26%
3.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.61%28.39%
1.535.86%64.14%
2.513.36%86.64%
3.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.48%34.52%
1.528.76%71.24%
2.59.24%90.76%
3.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Crystal Palace
Score012345
0
10.05%
12.66%
7.97%
3.34%
1.05%
0.27%
1
10.44%
13.14%
8.27%
3.47%
1.09%
0.28%
2
5.42%
6.82%
4.29%
1.80%
0.57%
0.14%
3
1.87%
2.36%
1.49%
0.62%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.49%
0.61%
0.39%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-010.44%
2-05.42%
2-16.82%
3-01.87%
3-12.36%
3-21.49%
4-00.49%
4-10.61%
4-20.39%
4-30.16%
5-00.10%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-010.05%
1-113.14%
2-24.29%
3-30.62%
Crystal Palace
0-112.66%
0-27.97%
1-28.27%
0-33.34%
1-33.47%
2-31.80%
0-41.05%
1-41.09%
2-40.57%
3-40.20%
0-50.27%
1-50.28%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Crystal Palace
Score01234
0
34.52%
20.12%
5.87%
1.14%
0.17%
1
16.59%
9.67%
2.82%
0.55%
0.08%
2
3.99%
2.32%
0.68%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.64%
0.37%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-016.59%
2-03.99%
2-12.32%
3-00.64%
3-10.37%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.52%
1-19.67%
2-20.68%
Crystal Palace
0-120.12%
0-25.87%
1-22.82%
0-31.14%
1-30.55%
2-30.13%
0-40.17%