Manchester City at Brighton

Updated

Manchester City

63.7%17.5%18.8%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.20Projected Goals 0.65
4Final Score 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Burnley-700
T 2-2 at Liverpool+135
W 1-0 at Chelsea+180
T 0-0 vs Southampton-590
W 1-0 at Leicester City-165
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 0-0 at Norwich City+110
T 0-0 vs Arsenal+225
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+170
W 1-2 vs Leicester City+150
W 1-0 at Brentford+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-235-235-240-235-270-240-235-216.3
Brighton+650+600+725+718+703+725+725+739.1
Draw+380+380+380+395+387+380+395+407.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-245--255--285-260-255-216.3
Brighton+650-+690-+550+700+700+739.1
Draw+385-+380-+330+390+390+407.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -251 to -274
Brighton ML moved from +750 to +725

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -235 to -270
Brighton ML moved from +700 to +690

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2¾-112o2½-140o2¾-104-o2½-140o2¾-104o2¾+101
Underu2¾-115u2¾-108u2½+120u2¾-106-u2½+120u2¾-106u2¾-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-135o2½-135-o2½-140o2½-140o2½-135o2¾+101
Underu2½+100u2½+115u2½+115-u2½+110u2½+120u2½+120u2¾-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o2½-140
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.4%
 
No57.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.80%
Exactly 223.51%
Exactly 415.89%
Exactly 64.30%
Exactly 80.62%
 
Exactly 116.51%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 59.05%
Exactly 71.75%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 011.08%
Exactly 124.37%
Exactly 226.81%
Exactly 319.67%
Exactly 410.82%
Exactly 54.76%
Exactly 61.75%
Exactly 70.55%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 052.33%
Exactly 133.89%
Exactly 210.97%
Exactly 32.37%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.75%
Exactly 223.26%
Exactly 43.37%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 310.22%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 036.11%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.74%
Exactly 36.36%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 074.09%
Exactly 122.22%
Exactly 23.33%
Exactly 30.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals48.68%
Wins by 3+ goals26.68%
Wins by 4+ goals12.16%
Wins by 5+ goals4.68%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals2.29%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.27%
Wins by 2 goals22.00%
Wins by 3 goals14.52%
Wins by 4 goals7.48%
Wins by 5 goals3.15%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal7.14%
Wins by 2 goals1.90%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.20%5.80%
1.577.70%22.30%
2.554.19%45.81%
3.531.87%68.13%
4.515.99%84.01%
5.56.94%93.06%
6.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.92%11.08%
1.564.55%35.45%
2.537.74%62.26%
3.518.07%81.93%
4.57.25%92.75%
5.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.67%52.33%
1.513.78%86.22%
2.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.25%26.75%
1.537.97%62.03%
2.514.72%85.28%
3.54.50%95.50%
4.51.13%98.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
5.80%
3.75%
1.22%
0.26%
1
12.75%
8.26%
2.67%
0.58%
2
14.03%
9.09%
2.94%
0.64%
3
10.29%
6.66%
2.16%
0.47%
4
5.66%
3.67%
1.19%
0.26%
5
2.49%
1.61%
0.52%
0.11%
Manchester City
1-012.75%
2-014.03%
2-19.09%
3-010.29%
3-16.66%
3-22.16%
4-05.66%
4-13.67%
4-21.19%
4-30.26%
5-02.49%
5-11.61%
5-20.52%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-05.80%
1-18.26%
2-22.94%
3-30.47%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-13.75%
0-21.22%
1-22.67%
0-30.26%
1-30.58%
2-30.64%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
26.75%
8.02%
1.20%
0.12%
1
27.25%
8.17%
1.23%
0.12%
2
13.88%
4.16%
0.62%
0.06%
3
4.71%
1.41%
0.21%
0.02%
4
1.20%
0.36%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.24%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-027.25%
2-013.88%
2-14.16%
3-04.71%
3-11.41%
3-20.21%
4-01.20%
4-10.36%
5-00.24%
Draw
0-026.75%
1-18.17%
2-20.62%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-18.02%
0-21.20%
1-21.23%
0-30.12%
1-30.12%