Liverpool at Watford

Updated

Liverpool

54.9%22.1%23.0%
Liverpool WinDrawWatford Win
1.83Projected Goals 0.77
5Final Score 0

Watford

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Manchester City+201
T 3-3 at Brentford-250
W 0-3 vs Crystal Palace-375
W 3-0 at Leeds United-150
T 1-1 vs Chelsea+140
Watford
Money Line
L 0-1 at Leeds United+371
T 1-1 vs Newcastle United+115
W 3-1 at Norwich City+236
L 2-0 vs Wolverhampton+250
L 0-1 at Tottenham+675

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-280-305-290-295-362-290-290-249.4
Watford+725+700+775+821+891+775+891+787.9
Draw+425+450+465+488+470+465+488+476.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-310--315--350-290-290-249.4
Watford+800-+736-+625+720+736+787.9
Draw+445-+475-+375+440+475+476.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -273 to -295
Watford ML moved from +750 to +700

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -284 to -315
Watford ML moved from +780 to +720

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-122o3-117o3¼+106-o3-117o3-117o3-106
Underu3-115u3+102u3-103u3¼-117-u3-103u3¼-117u3+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-125o3-120-o3-125o3-130o3-120o3-106
Underu3-115u3+105u3+100-u3-105u3+110u3+110u3+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.41%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 414.16%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.28%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.37%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 015.96%
Exactly 129.29%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 316.44%
Exactly 47.54%
Exactly 52.77%
Exactly 60.85%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 046.42%
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 213.67%
Exactly 33.50%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.97%
Exactly 221.76%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.74%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 042.75%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.43%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 070.10%
Exactly 124.90%
Exactly 24.42%
Exactly 30.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals37.00%
Wins by 3+ goals17.53%
Wins by 4+ goals6.80%
Wins by 5+ goals2.19%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals4.34%
Wins by 3+ goals0.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal25.70%
Wins by 2 goals19.47%
Wins by 3 goals10.73%
Wins by 4 goals4.61%
Wins by 5 goals1.62%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal10.74%
Wins by 2 goals3.40%
Wins by 3 goals0.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.59%7.41%
1.573.31%26.69%
2.548.22%51.78%
3.526.46%73.54%
4.512.30%87.70%
5.54.92%95.08%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.04%15.96%
1.554.76%45.24%
2.527.88%72.12%
3.511.44%88.56%
4.53.90%96.10%
5.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.58%46.42%
1.517.95%82.05%
2.54.28%95.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.03%29.97%
1.533.92%66.08%
2.512.16%87.84%
3.53.42%96.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Watford
Score01234
0
7.41%
5.68%
2.18%
0.56%
0.11%
1
13.60%
10.43%
4.00%
1.02%
0.20%
2
12.48%
9.57%
3.67%
0.94%
0.18%
3
7.63%
5.86%
2.25%
0.57%
0.11%
4
3.50%
2.69%
1.03%
0.26%
0.05%
5
1.29%
0.99%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
Liverpool
1-013.60%
2-012.48%
2-19.57%
3-07.63%
3-15.86%
3-22.25%
4-03.50%
4-12.69%
4-21.03%
4-30.26%
5-01.29%
5-10.99%
5-20.38%
Draw
0-07.41%
1-110.43%
2-23.67%
3-30.57%
Watford
0-15.68%
0-22.18%
1-24.00%
0-30.56%
1-31.02%
2-30.94%
0-40.11%
1-40.20%
2-40.18%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Watford
Score0123
0
29.97%
10.65%
1.89%
0.22%
1
25.47%
9.05%
1.61%
0.19%
2
10.82%
3.84%
0.68%
0.08%
3
3.06%
1.09%
0.19%
0.02%
4
0.65%
0.23%
0.04%
0.00%
5
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-025.47%
2-010.82%
2-13.84%
3-03.06%
3-11.09%
3-20.19%
4-00.65%
4-10.23%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-029.97%
1-19.05%
2-20.68%
Watford
0-110.65%
0-21.89%
1-21.61%
0-30.22%
1-30.19%