Nott'ham Forest at Aston Villa

Updated

Nottingham Forest

13.2%19.8%67.1%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.78Projected Goals 2.06
2Final Score 4

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Nottingham Forest
Money Line
W 0-2 vs West Ham United+125
L 3-2 vs Newcastle United+222
T 1-1 at Bournemouth+375
L 2-1 vs Arsenal+750
L 2-3 at Brentford+360
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-1 at Fulham+133
L 2-1 vs Manchester United+112
W 5-0 at Sheffield United-165
L 3-1 vs Newcastle United-120
T 0-0 at Everton+167

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nott'ham Forest+529+440+420+485+456+485+485+505.7
Aston Villa-198-170-175-178-173-178-170-162.0
Draw+362+344+360+346+352+346+360+361.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nott'ham Forest+430-+435-+415+440+440+505.7
Aston Villa-180--177--225-180-177-162.0
Draw+355-+340-+320+350+350+361.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nott'ham Forest: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +472 to +456
Aston Villa ML moved from -172 to -178

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +476 to +435
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-107o3-130o3-122o3-118o3-119o3-118o3-118o3-109
Underu3-109u3+110u3+102u3+102u3+103u3+102u3+110u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-115o3-120-o3-120o3-125o3-115o3-109
Underu3+100u3-105u3+100-u3-110u3+105u3+105u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.83%
Exactly 223.55%
Exactly 415.85%
Exactly 64.26%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.58%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 59.00%
Exactly 71.73%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 045.75%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 213.99%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 012.75%
Exactly 126.26%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.56%
Exactly 49.56%
Exactly 53.94%
Exactly 61.35%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.83%
Exactly 223.22%
Exactly 43.35%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 310.18%
Exactly 50.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 069.62%
Exactly 125.21%
Exactly 24.56%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 038.54%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.52%
Exactly 35.57%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals3.77%
Wins by 3+ goals0.82%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals42.39%
Wins by 3+ goals21.89%
Wins by 4+ goals9.37%
Wins by 5+ goals3.38%
Wins by 6+ goals1.04%
Wins by 7+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal9.36%
Wins by 2 goals2.95%
Wins by 3 goals0.68%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.67%
Wins by 2 goals20.50%
Wins by 3 goals12.52%
Wins by 4 goals5.99%
Wins by 5 goals2.34%
Wins by 6 goals0.77%
Wins by 7 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.17%5.83%
1.577.59%22.41%
2.554.04%45.96%
3.531.73%68.27%
4.515.88%84.12%
5.56.88%93.12%
6.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.25%45.75%
1.518.47%81.53%
2.54.49%95.51%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.25%12.75%
1.560.98%39.02%
2.533.94%66.06%
3.515.38%84.62%
4.55.82%94.18%
5.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.17%26.83%
1.537.87%62.13%
2.514.65%85.35%
3.54.47%95.53%
4.51.12%98.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nott'ham Forest
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
5.83%
12.02%
12.37%
8.49%
4.37%
1.80%
1
4.56%
9.40%
9.67%
6.64%
3.42%
1.41%
2
1.78%
3.67%
3.78%
2.60%
1.34%
0.55%
3
0.46%
0.96%
0.99%
0.68%
0.35%
0.14%
Nottingham Forest
1-04.56%
2-01.78%
2-13.67%
3-00.46%
3-10.96%
3-20.99%
Draw
0-05.83%
1-19.40%
2-23.78%
3-30.68%
Aston Villa
0-112.02%
0-212.37%
1-29.67%
0-38.49%
1-36.64%
2-32.60%
0-44.37%
1-43.42%
2-41.34%
3-40.35%
0-51.80%
1-51.41%
2-50.55%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Nott'ham Forest
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
26.83%
25.58%
12.20%
3.88%
0.92%
0.18%
1
9.71%
9.26%
4.42%
1.40%
0.33%
0.06%
2
1.76%
1.68%
0.80%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.20%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Nottingham Forest
1-09.71%
2-01.76%
2-11.68%
3-00.21%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-026.83%
1-19.26%
2-20.80%
Aston Villa
0-125.58%
0-212.20%
1-24.42%
0-33.88%
1-31.40%
2-30.25%
0-40.92%
1-40.33%
0-50.18%