Manchester Utd at Aston Villa

Updated

Manchester United

34.6%27.6%37.8%
Manchester Utd WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.24
2Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
W 0-3 vs West Ham United-180
W 4-3 at Wolverhampton+142
T 2-2 vs Tottenham+104
L 1-2 at Nottingham Forest+117
W 2-3 vs Aston Villa+130
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 5-0 at Sheffield United-165
L 3-1 vs Newcastle United-120
T 0-0 at Everton+167
W 2-3 vs Burnley-245
L 2-3 at Manchester United+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+242+217+205+214+220+214+220+225.1
Aston Villa+110+115+115+116+112+116+116+123.6
Draw+275+285+275+294+290+294+294+307.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+235-+215-+190+220+220+225.1
Aston Villa+105-+112--105+110+112+123.6
Draw+280-+280-+270+285+285+307.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +223 to +216
Aston Villa ML moved from +128 to +118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +204 to +190
Aston Villa ML moved from +115 to +107

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-106o3-135o3¼+102o3¼+102o3¼+103o3¼+102o3¼+103o3¼+109
Underu3-110u3+115u3¼-122u3¼-118u3¼-119u3¼-118u3¼-118u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-130o3-128-o3-140o3-135o3-128o3¼+109
Underu3+100u3+110u3+108-u3+110u3+115u3+115u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.99%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 412.62%
Exactly 62.44%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.66%
Exactly 320.95%
Exactly 56.08%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 030.99%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 029.00%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 222.22%
Exactly 39.17%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.78%
Exactly 220.39%
Exactly 42.11%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.58%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 058.14%
Exactly 131.53%
Exactly 28.55%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 056.38%
Exactly 132.31%
Exactly 29.26%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals14.33%
Wins by 3+ goals4.59%
Wins by 4+ goals1.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals16.39%
Wins by 3+ goals5.51%
Wins by 4+ goals1.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal20.25%
Wins by 2 goals9.74%
Wins by 3 goals3.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.40%
Wins by 2 goals10.88%
Wins by 3 goals4.03%
Wins by 4 goals1.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.01%8.99%
1.569.35%30.65%
2.543.27%56.73%
3.522.32%77.68%
4.59.70%90.30%
5.53.62%96.38%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.01%30.99%
1.532.70%67.30%
2.511.44%88.56%
3.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.00%29.00%
1.535.10%64.90%
2.512.88%87.12%
3.53.71%96.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.22%32.78%
1.530.66%69.34%
2.510.27%89.73%
3.52.69%97.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
8.99%
11.13%
6.89%
2.84%
0.88%
0.22%
1
10.53%
13.03%
8.07%
3.33%
1.03%
0.25%
2
6.17%
7.63%
4.72%
1.95%
0.60%
0.15%
3
2.41%
2.98%
1.84%
0.76%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.71%
0.87%
0.54%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.20%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-010.53%
2-06.17%
2-17.63%
3-02.41%
3-12.98%
3-21.84%
4-00.71%
4-10.87%
4-20.54%
4-30.22%
5-00.17%
5-10.20%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.99%
1-113.03%
2-24.72%
3-30.76%
Aston Villa
0-111.13%
0-26.89%
1-28.07%
0-32.84%
1-33.33%
2-31.95%
0-40.88%
1-41.03%
2-40.60%
3-40.24%
0-50.22%
1-50.25%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
32.78%
18.78%
5.38%
1.03%
0.15%
1
17.78%
10.19%
2.92%
0.56%
0.08%
2
4.82%
2.76%
0.79%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.87%
0.50%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-017.78%
2-04.82%
2-12.76%
3-00.87%
3-10.50%
3-20.14%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-032.78%
1-110.19%
2-20.79%
Aston Villa
0-118.78%
0-25.38%
1-22.92%
0-31.03%
1-30.56%
2-30.15%
0-40.15%