Aston Villa at Manchester Utd

Updated

Aston Villa

19.0%22.3%58.7%
WinDrawManchester Utd Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.87
2Final Score 3

Manchester United

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sheffield United-500
W 2-1 at Brentford+135
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+261
W 0-1 vs Manchester City+400
T 2-2 at Bournemouth+110
Manchester United
Money Line
L 0-2 at West Ham United+220
T 0-0 at Liverpool+800
L 3-0 vs Bournemouth-153
W 1-2 vs Chelsea+180
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+192+200+185+193+186+193+200+203.5
Manchester Utd+140+137+130+133+137+133+137+141.3
Draw+257+290+280+277+280+277+290+290.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+160-+186-+165+190+190+203.5
Manchester Utd+160-+130-+125+130+130+141.3
Draw+255-+272-+220+270+272+290.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +204 to +196
Manchester Utd ML moved from +133 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +198 to +190
Manchester Utd ML moved from +140 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+107o3-104o3-112o3-106o3-105o3-106o3-104o3+102
Underu3-125u3-102u3-108u3-110u3-109u3-110u3-102u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-115o3-107-o3-130o3-110o3-107o3+102
Underu3-120u3-105u3-113-u3+100u3-110u3+100u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.2%
 
No47.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.91%
Exactly 223.64%
Exactly 415.76%
Exactly 64.20%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.71%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.92%
Exactly 71.70%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 038.29%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.64%
Exactly 35.65%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 015.43%
Exactly 128.84%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 316.79%
Exactly 47.84%
Exactly 52.93%
Exactly 60.91%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.99%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 43.31%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 310.11%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 064.12%
Exactly 128.50%
Exactly 26.33%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 042.09%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.76%
Exactly 34.54%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals6.42%
Wins by 3+ goals1.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals34.22%
Wins by 3+ goals16.17%
Wins by 4+ goals6.29%
Wins by 5+ goals2.03%
Wins by 6+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Manchester United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal12.53%
Wins by 2 goals4.76%
Wins by 3 goals1.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal24.39%
Wins by 2 goals18.05%
Wins by 3 goals9.88%
Wins by 4 goals4.26%
Wins by 5 goals1.50%
Wins by 6 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.09%5.91%
1.577.38%22.62%
2.553.74%46.26%
3.531.45%68.55%
4.515.68%84.32%
5.56.76%93.24%
6.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.71%38.29%
1.524.95%75.05%
2.57.31%92.69%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.57%15.43%
1.555.73%44.27%
2.528.79%71.21%
3.512.00%88.00%
4.54.16%95.84%
5.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.01%26.99%
1.537.66%62.34%
2.514.51%85.49%
3.54.41%95.59%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Manchester United
Score012345
0
5.91%
11.04%
10.32%
6.43%
3.00%
1.12%
1
5.67%
10.60%
9.90%
6.17%
2.88%
1.08%
2
2.72%
5.09%
4.75%
2.96%
1.38%
0.52%
3
0.87%
1.63%
1.52%
0.95%
0.44%
0.17%
4
0.21%
0.39%
0.37%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
Aston Villa
1-05.67%
2-02.72%
2-15.09%
3-00.87%
3-11.63%
3-21.52%
4-00.21%
4-10.39%
4-20.37%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-05.91%
1-110.60%
2-24.75%
3-30.95%
4-40.11%
Manchester United
0-111.04%
0-210.32%
1-29.90%
0-36.43%
1-36.17%
2-32.96%
0-43.00%
1-42.88%
2-41.38%
3-40.44%
0-51.12%
1-51.08%
2-50.52%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Manchester United
Score012345
0
26.99%
23.35%
10.10%
2.91%
0.63%
0.11%
1
12.00%
10.38%
4.49%
1.30%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.67%
2.31%
1.00%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.39%
0.34%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-012.00%
2-02.67%
2-12.31%
3-00.39%
3-10.34%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-026.99%
1-110.38%
2-21.00%
Manchester United
0-123.35%
0-210.10%
1-24.49%
0-32.91%
1-31.30%
2-30.29%
0-40.63%
1-40.28%
0-50.11%