Sheffield Utd at Aston Villa

Updated

Sheffield United

7.7%15.0%77.3%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.65Projected Goals 2.45
1Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Sheffield United
Money Line
L 0-2 at Chelsea+1200
W 0-1 vs Brentford+350
L 2-0 vs Liverpool+1400
L 0-5 at Burnley+380
L 3-1 vs Bournemouth+250
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-1 at Brentford+135
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+261
W 0-1 vs Manchester City+400
T 2-2 at Bournemouth+110
W 2-1 at Tottenham+161

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sheffield Utd+1201+1169+1100+1165+1138+1165+1169+1209.5
Aston Villa-440-451-480-450-477-450-450-377.1
Draw+574+600+600+625+602+625+625+650.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sheffield Utd+1125-+1125--+1150+1150+1209.5
Aston Villa-530--500---500-500-377.1
Draw+640-+625--+625+625+650.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Utd: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sheffield Utd: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sheffield Utd ML moved from +1174 to +1135
Aston Villa ML moved from -444 to -451

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sheffield Utd: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sheffield Utd ML moved from +1000 to +950
Aston Villa ML moved from -450 to -500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-139o3½+106o3¼-122o3¼-112o3¼-114o3¼-112o3¼-112o3¼-104
Underu3+117u3½-124u3¼+102u3¼-104u3¼-102u3¼-104u3½-124u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+120o3½+110o3-144-o3½+110o3½+110o3-144o3¼-104
Underu3½-140u3½-130u3+124-u3½-140u3½-130u3½-130u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.52%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 417.32%
Exactly 65.53%
Exactly 80.95%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 114.00%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.72%
Exactly 72.45%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Sheffield United
Exactly 052.63%
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 210.84%
Exactly 32.32%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 08.59%
Exactly 121.08%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 412.99%
Exactly 56.38%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 70.92%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.84%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 311.71%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sheffield United
Exactly 074.29%
Exactly 122.08%
Exactly 23.28%
Exactly 30.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 032.09%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.73%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sheffield United
Wins by 2+ goals1.83%
Wins by 3+ goals0.31%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals54.71%
Wins by 3+ goals32.37%
Wins by 4+ goals16.08%
Wins by 5+ goals6.78%
Wins by 6+ goals2.44%
Wins by 7+ goals0.72%
Wins by 8+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Sheffield United
Aston Villa
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sheffield United
Wins by 1 goal5.87%
Wins by 2 goals1.52%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal22.46%
Wins by 2 goals22.34%
Wins by 3 goals16.29%
Wins by 4 goals9.30%
Wins by 5 goals4.34%
Wins by 6 goals1.71%
Wins by 7 goals0.58%
Wins by 8 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.48%4.52%
1.581.48%18.52%
2.559.81%40.19%
3.537.44%62.56%
4.520.12%79.88%
5.59.40%90.60%
6.53.86%96.14%
7.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Sheffield United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.37%52.63%
1.513.59%86.41%
2.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.41%8.59%
1.570.33%29.67%
2.544.45%55.55%
3.523.28%76.72%
4.510.28%89.72%
5.53.91%96.09%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.16%23.84%
1.541.97%58.03%
2.517.47%82.53%
3.55.76%94.24%
4.51.56%98.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sheffield Utd
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
4.52%
11.10%
13.62%
11.14%
6.84%
3.36%
1
2.90%
7.12%
8.74%
7.15%
4.39%
2.15%
2
0.93%
2.29%
2.81%
2.30%
1.41%
0.69%
3
0.20%
0.49%
0.60%
0.49%
0.30%
0.15%
Sheffield United
1-02.90%
2-00.93%
2-12.29%
3-00.20%
3-10.49%
3-20.60%
Draw
0-04.52%
1-17.12%
2-22.81%
3-30.49%
Aston Villa
0-111.10%
0-213.62%
1-28.74%
0-311.14%
1-37.15%
2-32.30%
0-46.84%
1-44.39%
2-41.41%
3-40.30%
0-53.36%
1-52.15%
2-50.69%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Sheffield Utd
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
23.84%
27.10%
15.40%
5.83%
1.66%
0.38%
1
7.09%
8.05%
4.58%
1.73%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.05%
1.20%
0.68%
0.26%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.10%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sheffield United
1-07.09%
2-01.05%
2-11.20%
3-00.10%
3-10.12%
Draw
0-023.84%
1-18.05%
2-20.68%
Aston Villa
0-127.10%
0-215.40%
1-24.58%
0-35.83%
1-31.73%
2-30.26%
0-41.66%
1-40.49%
0-50.38%
1-50.11%