Aston Villa at Bournemouth

Updated

Aston Villa

42.5%27.0%30.5%
Aston Villa WinDrawBournemouth Win
1.35Projected Goals 1.10
2Final Score 2

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 2-1 at Tottenham+161
W 1-3 vs Fulham-160
L 0-2 at Nottingham Forest-110
W 1-3 vs Luton Town-313
W 1-4 vs West Ham United-125
Bournemouth
Money Line
W 3-1 at Sheffield United+115
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United+305
L 1-6 at Manchester City+2650
W 1-2 vs Burnley+112
L 2-1 vs Wolverhampton+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa-103+114+100+116+113+116+116+123.7
Bournemouth+266+217+225+218+219+218+225+229.4
Draw+286+288+310+287+297+287+310+300.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+100-+102--110+105+110+123.7
Bournemouth+245-+235-+205+235+235+229.4
Draw+285-+286-+260+280+286+300.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -105
Bournemouth ML moved from +231 to +219

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -105
Bournemouth ML moved from +235 to +220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-117o3-132o3¼+100o3¼+102o3¼+101o3¼+102o3¼+102o3¼+109
Underu3-101u3+112u3¼-120u3¼-118u3¼-117u3¼-118u3¼-117u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3-120o3-123-o3-130o3-130o3-120o3¼+109
Underu3+115u3+100u3+103-u3+100u3+110u3+110u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-110 to o3-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.60%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 412.98%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.10%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 56.37%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 025.86%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 223.65%
Exactly 310.66%
Exactly 43.60%
Exactly 50.97%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 033.25%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 37.40%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.11%
Exactly 220.72%
Exactly 42.23%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.84%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 053.47%
Exactly 133.48%
Exactly 210.48%
Exactly 32.19%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 060.06%
Exactly 130.62%
Exactly 27.81%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals19.72%
Wins by 3+ goals7.15%
Wins by 4+ goals2.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals11.86%
Wins by 3+ goals3.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Bournemouth
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal22.72%
Wins by 2 goals12.57%
Wins by 3 goals5.08%
Wins by 4 goals1.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal18.50%
Wins by 2 goals8.33%
Wins by 3 goals2.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.40%8.60%
1.570.30%29.70%
2.544.42%55.58%
3.523.25%76.75%
4.510.27%89.73%
5.53.90%96.10%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.14%25.86%
1.539.16%60.84%
2.515.51%84.49%
3.54.85%95.15%
4.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.75%33.25%
1.530.14%69.86%
2.59.98%90.02%
3.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.89%32.11%
1.531.41%68.59%
2.510.69%89.31%
3.52.85%97.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
8.60%
9.47%
5.21%
1.91%
0.53%
0.12%
1
11.63%
12.81%
7.05%
2.59%
0.71%
0.16%
2
7.86%
8.66%
4.77%
1.75%
0.48%
0.11%
3
3.54%
3.90%
2.15%
0.79%
0.22%
0.05%
4
1.20%
1.32%
0.73%
0.27%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.32%
0.36%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-011.63%
2-07.86%
2-18.66%
3-03.54%
3-13.90%
3-22.15%
4-01.20%
4-11.32%
4-20.73%
4-30.27%
5-00.32%
5-10.36%
5-20.20%
Draw
0-08.60%
1-112.81%
2-24.77%
3-30.79%
Bournemouth
0-19.47%
0-25.21%
1-27.05%
0-31.91%
1-32.59%
2-31.75%
0-40.53%
1-40.71%
2-40.48%
3-40.22%
0-50.12%
1-50.16%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Score0123
0
32.11%
16.37%
4.17%
0.71%
1
20.11%
10.25%
2.61%
0.44%
2
6.29%
3.21%
0.82%
0.14%
3
1.31%
0.67%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.21%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-020.11%
2-06.29%
2-13.21%
3-01.31%
3-10.67%
3-20.17%
4-00.21%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-032.11%
1-110.25%
2-20.82%
Bournemouth
0-116.37%
0-24.17%
1-22.61%
0-30.71%
1-30.44%
2-30.14%