Bournemouth at Manchester City

Updated

Bournemouth

3.2%8.3%88.4%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.52Projected Goals 3.24
1Final Score 6

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Bournemouth
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Burnley+112
L 2-1 vs Wolverhampton+130
L 0-3 at Everton+305
L 4-0 vs Arsenal+500
L 1-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+525
Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-0 at Manchester United-160
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-267
L 0-1 at Arsenal+146
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton-265
W 0-2 vs Nottingham Forest-680

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bournemouth+1698+2222+2200+2450+2450+2450+2450+2539.0
Manchester City-660-941-1000-950-950-950-941-695.3
Draw+762+976+900+1000+1000+1000+1000+1038.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bournemouth+2100-+2500--+2650+2650+2539.0
Manchester City-1150--1150---1400-1150-695.3
Draw+975-+975--+1150+1150+1038.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Bournemouth: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bournemouth: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bournemouth ML moved from +2191 to +2120
Manchester City ML moved from -914 to -941

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Bournemouth: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bournemouth: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bournemouth ML moved from +2800 to +2500
Manchester City ML moved from -1100 to -1400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-117o3½-135o3½-120o3¾-101o3¾-101o3¾-101o3½-120o3¾+106
Underu3½-101u3½+113u3½+100u3¾-115u3¾-115u3¾-115u3¾-115u3¾-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3½-130o3½-130-o3½-135o3½-135o3½-130o3¾+106
Underu3½+100u3½+110u3½+110-u3½+105u3½+115u3½+115u3¾-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.3%
 
No60.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.32%
Exactly 216.44%
Exactly 419.39%
Exactly 69.15%
Exactly 82.31%
Exactly 100.36%
 
Exactly 18.74%
Exactly 320.62%
Exactly 514.59%
Exactly 74.92%
Exactly 90.97%
Exactly 110.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 059.08%
Exactly 131.09%
Exactly 28.18%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 03.93%
Exactly 112.72%
Exactly 220.58%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 417.97%
Exactly 511.63%
Exactly 66.27%
Exactly 72.90%
Exactly 81.17%
Exactly 90.42%
Exactly 100.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.52%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 46.72%
Exactly 60.68%
 
Exactly 130.51%
Exactly 315.43%
Exactly 52.34%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 078.37%
Exactly 119.10%
Exactly 22.33%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 022.35%
Exactly 133.49%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 312.53%
Exactly 44.69%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals0.63%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals72.37%
Wins by 3+ goals51.65%
Wins by 4+ goals31.90%
Wins by 5+ goals17.11%
Wins by 6+ goals8.03%
Wins by 7+ goals3.32%
Wins by 8+ goals1.21%
Wins by 9+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Bournemouth
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal2.60%
Wins by 2 goals0.54%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal16.01%
Wins by 2 goals20.72%
Wins by 3 goals19.75%
Wins by 4 goals14.79%
Wins by 5 goals9.08%
Wins by 6 goals4.71%
Wins by 7 goals2.11%
Wins by 8 goals0.84%
Wins by 9 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.68%2.32%
1.588.94%11.06%
2.572.50%27.50%
3.551.88%48.12%
4.532.49%67.51%
5.517.90%82.10%
6.58.74%91.26%
7.53.82%96.18%
8.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.92%59.08%
1.59.83%90.17%
2.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.07%3.93%
1.583.35%16.65%
2.562.76%37.24%
3.540.56%59.44%
4.522.59%77.41%
5.510.96%89.04%
6.54.69%95.31%
7.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.48%17.52%
1.551.97%48.03%
2.525.39%74.61%
3.59.96%90.04%
4.53.24%96.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bournemouth
Manchester City
Score012345
0
2.32%
7.52%
12.16%
13.12%
10.61%
6.87%
1
1.22%
3.96%
6.40%
6.90%
5.59%
3.62%
2
0.32%
1.04%
1.68%
1.82%
1.47%
0.95%
Bournemouth
1-01.22%
2-00.32%
2-11.04%
Draw
0-02.32%
1-13.96%
2-21.68%
3-30.32%
Manchester City
0-17.52%
0-212.16%
1-26.40%
0-313.12%
1-36.90%
2-31.82%
0-410.61%
1-45.59%
2-41.47%
3-40.26%
0-56.87%
1-53.62%
2-50.95%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Bournemouth
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
17.52%
26.25%
19.66%
9.82%
3.68%
1.10%
0.28%
1
4.27%
6.40%
4.79%
2.39%
0.90%
0.27%
0.07%
2
0.52%
0.78%
0.58%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Bournemouth
1-04.27%
2-00.52%
2-10.78%
Draw
0-017.52%
1-16.40%
2-20.58%
Manchester City
0-126.25%
0-219.66%
1-24.79%
0-39.82%
1-32.39%
2-30.29%
0-43.68%
1-40.90%
2-40.11%
0-51.10%
1-50.27%
0-60.28%
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