Manchester Utd at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Manchester United

27.8%26.1%46.1%
Manchester Utd WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.47
0Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
W 3-0 at Everton+165
W 0-1 vs Luton Town-350
W 1-0 at Fulham+135
L 3-0 vs Manchester City+450
W 2-1 at Sheffield United-292
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Chelsea+165
L 0-2 at Bournemouth-108
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+170
T 2-2 at Wolverhampton-122
W 0-4 vs Crystal Palace-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+266+263+265+280+279+280+280+293.3
Newcastle Utd+103+100-105-103-104-103+100+104.0
Draw+265+277+275+278+283+278+283+291.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+290-+260-+235+255+260+293.3
Newcastle Utd-110--105--120+100+100+104.0
Draw+270-+280-+255+275+280+291.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +279 to +267
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +100 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +280 to +245
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-142o2¾-108o2¾-110o2¾-105o2¾-110o2¾-105o2¾-102
Underu2½+110u2½+120u2¾-112u2¾-106u2¾-109u2¾-106u2¾-106u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3+110o3+110-o2½-140o3+110o2½-140o2¾-102
Underu2½+115u3-130u3-130-u2½+110u3-130u3-130u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.85%
Exactly 225.41%
Exactly 413.72%
Exactly 62.96%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 119.97%
Exactly 321.56%
Exactly 56.98%
Exactly 71.08%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 034.01%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.78%
Exactly 37.11%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 023.07%
Exactly 133.83%
Exactly 224.81%
Exactly 312.13%
Exactly 44.45%
Exactly 51.30%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.78%
Exactly 221.37%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 38.39%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 060.69%
Exactly 130.31%
Exactly 27.57%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 050.71%
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 211.69%
Exactly 32.65%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals10.56%
Wins by 3+ goals3.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals22.63%
Wins by 3+ goals8.76%
Wins by 4+ goals2.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal17.17%
Wins by 2 goals7.49%
Wins by 3 goals2.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal23.35%
Wins by 2 goals13.87%
Wins by 3 goals6.04%
Wins by 4 goals2.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.15%7.85%
1.572.18%27.82%
2.546.77%53.23%
3.525.21%74.79%
4.511.49%88.51%
5.54.51%95.49%
6.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.99%34.01%
1.529.31%70.69%
2.59.53%90.47%
3.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.93%23.07%
1.543.10%56.90%
2.518.28%81.72%
3.56.15%93.85%
4.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.22%30.78%
1.532.96%67.04%
2.511.59%88.41%
3.53.19%96.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
7.85%
11.51%
8.44%
4.13%
1.51%
0.44%
1
8.46%
12.41%
9.10%
4.45%
1.63%
0.48%
2
4.56%
6.69%
4.91%
2.40%
0.88%
0.26%
3
1.64%
2.41%
1.76%
0.86%
0.32%
0.09%
4
0.44%
0.65%
0.48%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Manchester United
1-08.46%
2-04.56%
2-16.69%
3-01.64%
3-12.41%
3-21.76%
4-00.44%
4-10.65%
4-20.48%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.85%
1-112.41%
2-24.91%
3-30.86%
Newcastle United
0-111.51%
0-28.44%
1-29.10%
0-34.13%
1-34.45%
2-32.40%
0-41.51%
1-41.63%
2-40.88%
3-40.32%
0-50.44%
1-50.48%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
30.78%
20.90%
7.10%
1.61%
0.27%
1
15.37%
10.44%
3.54%
0.80%
0.14%
2
3.84%
2.61%
0.88%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.64%
0.43%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Manchester United
1-015.37%
2-03.84%
2-12.61%
3-00.64%
3-10.43%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-030.78%
1-110.44%
2-20.88%
Newcastle United
0-120.90%
0-27.10%
1-23.54%
0-31.61%
1-30.80%
2-30.20%
0-40.27%
1-40.14%