Arsenal at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Arsenal

32.7%27.3%40.0%
Arsenal WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.30
0Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Sheffield United-800
T 2-2 at Chelsea+135
W 0-1 vs Manchester City+200
W 4-0 at Bournemouth-190
T 2-2 vs Tottenham-155
Newcastle United
Money Line
T 2-2 at Wolverhampton-122
W 0-4 vs Crystal Palace-230
T 2-2 at West Ham United+105
W 0-2 vs Burnley-275
W 8-0 at Sheffield United-195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+154+168+165+169+172+169+172+178.3
Newcastle Utd+182+178+180+180+177+180+180+189.7
Draw+243+225+220+227+227+227+227+238.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+147-+173-+135+170+173+178.3
Newcastle Utd+185-+165-+160+170+170+189.7
Draw+230-+223-+215+225+225+238.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +179 to +172
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +175 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arsenal ML
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +173 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-121o2½+112o2¼-115o2¼-119o2¼-121o2¼-119o2¼-115o2¼-110
Underu2½+103u2½-132u2¼-105u2¼+103u2¼+105u2¼+103u2½-132u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+110o2½+112-o2½+100o2½+100o2½+112o2¼-110
Underu2½-115u2½-130u2½-132-u2½-130u2½-120u2½-120u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-108 to u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.68%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 412.91%
Exactly 62.57%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.22%
Exactly 321.12%
Exactly 56.31%
Exactly 70.90%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 031.79%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.52%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 027.31%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 223.00%
Exactly 39.95%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.25%
Exactly 220.65%
Exactly 42.20%
 
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 37.79%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 058.82%
Exactly 131.21%
Exactly 28.28%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 054.83%
Exactly 132.95%
Exactly 29.90%
Exactly 31.98%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals13.27%
Wins by 3+ goals4.16%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals17.97%
Wins by 3+ goals6.29%
Wins by 4+ goals1.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal19.43%
Wins by 2 goals9.11%
Wins by 3 goals3.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal22.00%
Wins by 2 goals11.68%
Wins by 3 goals4.53%
Wins by 4 goals1.37%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.32%8.68%
1.570.10%29.90%
2.544.17%55.83%
3.523.05%76.95%
4.510.15%89.85%
5.53.84%96.16%
6.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.21%31.79%
1.531.78%68.22%
2.510.90%89.10%
3.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.69%27.31%
1.537.25%62.75%
2.514.24%85.76%
3.54.29%95.71%
4.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.75%32.25%
1.531.25%68.75%
2.510.60%89.40%
3.52.81%97.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
8.68%
11.27%
7.31%
3.16%
1.03%
0.27%
1
9.95%
12.91%
8.38%
3.63%
1.18%
0.31%
2
5.70%
7.40%
4.80%
2.08%
0.67%
0.18%
3
2.18%
2.83%
1.83%
0.79%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.62%
0.81%
0.53%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.14%
0.19%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-09.95%
2-05.70%
2-17.40%
3-02.18%
3-12.83%
3-21.83%
4-00.62%
4-10.81%
4-20.53%
4-30.23%
5-00.14%
5-10.19%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-08.68%
1-112.91%
2-24.80%
3-30.79%
Newcastle United
0-111.27%
0-27.31%
1-28.38%
0-33.16%
1-33.63%
2-32.08%
0-41.03%
1-41.18%
2-40.67%
3-40.26%
0-50.27%
1-50.31%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
32.25%
19.38%
5.82%
1.17%
0.18%
1
17.11%
10.28%
3.09%
0.62%
0.09%
2
4.54%
2.73%
0.82%
0.16%
0.02%
3
0.80%
0.48%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-017.11%
2-04.54%
2-12.73%
3-00.80%
3-10.48%
3-20.15%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-032.25%
1-110.28%
2-20.82%
Newcastle United
0-119.38%
0-25.82%
1-23.09%
0-31.17%
1-30.62%
2-30.16%
0-40.18%