Burnley at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Burnley

20.0%24.0%56.1%
WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.70
0Final Score 2

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+321
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest+265
L 5-2 vs Tottenham+260
L 3-1 vs Aston Villa+221
L 3-0 vs Manchester City+825
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 8-0 at Sheffield United-195
W 0-1 vs Brentford-160
L 1-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+155
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+120
L 0-1 at Manchester City+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+889+700+675+755+755+755+755+785.1
Newcastle Utd-312-252-275-260-260-260-252-230.7
Draw+451+402+420+410+410+410+420+428.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+885-+700--+730+730+785.1
Newcastle Utd-330--275---275-275-230.7
Draw+450-+415--+410+415+428.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 40.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +722 to +700
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -265 to -275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 40.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +825 to +730
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -300 to -350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3+110o2¾-122o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-109
Underu3+110u3-130u2¾+102u2¾+102u2¾+102u2¾+102u3-130u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3+110o3+110-o3+100o3+110o3+110o2¾-109
Underu3+110u3-130u3-130-u3-130u3-130u3-130u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+100 to u3-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.38%
Exactly 225.06%
Exactly 414.20%
Exactly 63.22%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.23%
Exactly 321.78%
Exactly 57.40%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 040.37%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.61%
Exactly 35.02%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 018.27%
Exactly 131.06%
Exactly 226.40%
Exactly 314.96%
Exactly 46.36%
Exactly 52.16%
Exactly 60.61%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.91%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 065.70%
Exactly 127.60%
Exactly 25.80%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 045.52%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 214.10%
Exactly 33.70%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals6.56%
Wins by 3+ goals1.64%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals31.01%
Wins by 3+ goals13.71%
Wins by 4+ goals4.95%
Wins by 5+ goals1.48%
Wins by 6+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal13.36%
Wins by 2 goals4.93%
Wins by 3 goals1.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal25.03%
Wins by 2 goals17.30%
Wins by 3 goals8.76%
Wins by 4 goals3.47%
Wins by 5 goals1.12%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.62%7.38%
1.573.40%26.60%
2.548.33%51.67%
3.526.55%73.45%
4.512.36%87.64%
5.54.96%95.04%
6.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.63%40.37%
1.523.01%76.99%
2.56.40%93.60%
3.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.73%18.27%
1.550.67%49.33%
2.524.27%75.73%
3.59.32%90.68%
4.52.96%97.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.09%29.91%
1.533.99%66.01%
2.512.20%87.80%
3.53.44%96.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
7.38%
12.54%
10.66%
6.04%
2.57%
0.87%
1
6.69%
11.37%
9.67%
5.48%
2.33%
0.79%
2
3.03%
5.16%
4.38%
2.48%
1.06%
0.36%
3
0.92%
1.56%
1.33%
0.75%
0.32%
0.11%
4
0.21%
0.35%
0.30%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Burnley
1-06.69%
2-03.03%
2-15.16%
3-00.92%
3-11.56%
3-21.33%
4-00.21%
4-10.35%
4-20.30%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.38%
1-111.37%
2-24.38%
3-30.75%
Newcastle United
0-112.54%
0-210.66%
1-29.67%
0-36.04%
1-35.48%
2-32.48%
0-42.57%
1-42.33%
2-41.06%
3-40.32%
0-50.87%
1-50.79%
2-50.36%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
29.91%
23.54%
9.26%
2.43%
0.48%
1
12.56%
9.89%
3.89%
1.02%
0.20%
2
2.64%
2.08%
0.82%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.37%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Burnley
1-012.56%
2-02.64%
2-12.08%
3-00.37%
3-10.29%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.91%
1-19.89%
2-20.82%
Newcastle United
0-123.54%
0-29.26%
1-23.89%
0-32.43%
1-31.02%
2-30.21%
0-40.48%
1-40.20%