Newcastle Utd at Manchester City

Updated

Newcastle United

4.4%10.0%85.5%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.59Projected Goals 3.05
0Final Score 1

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Aston Villa-155
T 1-1 at Chelsea+140
T 0-0 vs Leicester City-320
W 1-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-120
T 2-2 at Leeds United-165
Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-0 at Burnley-310
L 0-1 at Brentford+115
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion-120
W 0-1 vs Chelsea-165
W 3-0 at Everton-275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+475+326+320+315+330+315+330+329.6
Manchester City-190-118-120-116-119-116-116-107.8
Draw+350+278+280+289+288+289+289+302.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+425-+340-+315+325+340+329.6
Manchester City-160--128--150-125-125-107.8
Draw+310-+280-+250+285+285+302.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester City: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +330 to +320
Manchester City ML moved from -110 to -119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester City: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +310 to +265
Manchester City ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-129o2½-122o2¾+108o2½-116o2¾+108o2½-116o2¾+115
Underu2¾-118u2½+109u2½+102u2¾-124u2½+102u2¾-124u2¾-124u2¾-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-135o2½-120-o3+120o2½-125o2½-120o2¾+115
Underu2½+115u2½+115u2½+100-u3-150u2½+105u3-150u2¾-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-104 to u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.7%
 
No57.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.62%
Exactly 217.38%
Exactly 419.21%
Exactly 68.49%
Exactly 82.01%
Exactly 100.30%
 
Exactly 19.54%
Exactly 321.09%
Exactly 513.99%
Exactly 74.42%
Exactly 90.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 055.16%
Exactly 132.81%
Exactly 29.76%
Exactly 31.94%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 04.75%
Exactly 114.47%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 417.06%
Exactly 510.40%
Exactly 65.28%
Exactly 72.30%
Exactly 80.88%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.52%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 46.24%
Exactly 60.59%
 
Exactly 131.23%
Exactly 314.80%
Exactly 52.10%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 075.93%
Exactly 120.91%
Exactly 22.88%
Exactly 30.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 024.40%
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 311.42%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals0.95%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals67.65%
Wins by 3+ goals46.26%
Wins by 4+ goals27.18%
Wins by 5+ goals13.80%
Wins by 6+ goals6.09%
Wins by 7+ goals2.33%
Wins by 8+ goals0.74%
Wins by 9+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal3.46%
Wins by 2 goals0.81%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal17.77%
Wins by 2 goals21.39%
Wins by 3 goals19.08%
Wins by 4 goals13.39%
Wins by 5 goals7.71%
Wins by 6 goals3.76%
Wins by 7 goals1.58%
Wins by 8 goals0.58%
Wins by 9 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.38%2.62%
1.587.84%12.16%
2.570.46%29.54%
3.549.37%50.63%
4.530.16%69.84%
5.516.17%83.83%
6.57.68%92.32%
7.53.26%96.74%
8.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.84%55.16%
1.512.02%87.98%
2.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.25%4.75%
1.580.78%19.22%
2.558.73%41.27%
3.536.33%63.67%
4.519.27%80.73%
5.58.87%91.13%
6.53.59%96.41%
7.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.48%18.52%
1.550.25%49.75%
2.523.91%76.09%
3.59.11%90.89%
4.52.87%97.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Manchester City
Score012345
0
2.62%
7.98%
12.16%
12.35%
9.41%
5.74%
1
1.56%
4.75%
7.24%
7.35%
5.60%
3.41%
2
0.46%
1.41%
2.15%
2.19%
1.67%
1.01%
Newcastle United
1-01.56%
2-00.46%
2-11.41%
Draw
0-02.62%
1-14.75%
2-22.15%
3-30.43%
Manchester City
0-17.98%
0-212.16%
1-27.24%
0-312.35%
1-37.35%
2-32.19%
0-49.41%
1-45.60%
2-41.67%
3-40.33%
0-55.74%
1-53.41%
2-51.01%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
18.52%
26.13%
18.43%
8.67%
3.06%
0.86%
0.20%
1
5.10%
7.20%
5.08%
2.39%
0.84%
0.24%
0.06%
2
0.70%
0.99%
0.70%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-05.10%
2-00.70%
2-10.99%
Draw
0-018.52%
1-17.20%
2-20.70%
Manchester City
0-126.13%
0-218.43%
1-25.08%
0-38.67%
1-32.39%
2-30.33%
0-43.06%
1-40.84%
2-40.12%
0-50.86%
1-50.24%
0-60.20%