Brighton at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

25.7%26.6%47.7%
Brighton WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.44
1Final Score 4

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 3-0 at Arsenal+335
L 5-1 vs Everton-305
W 0-1 vs Manchester United+119
W 0-6 vs Wolverhampton-174
L 1-3 at Nottingham Forest-175
Newcastle United
Money Line
T 2-2 at Leeds United-165
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+130
W 1-3 vs Southampton-373
W 4-1 at Everton-130
W 1-6 vs Tottenham-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+266+316+310+310+339+310+339+324.1
Newcastle Utd-102-124-125-122-125-122-122-113.3
Draw+281+307+310+315+320+315+320+329.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+260-+311-+225+280+311+324.1
Newcastle Utd-110--132--120-120-120-113.3
Draw+300-+316-+265+310+316+329.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 30.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +293 to +284
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -114 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 30.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +255 to +240
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -125 to -132

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3-123o3-118o3-112o3-119o3-112o3-112o3-104
Underu3-126u3+105u3-102u3-104u3+104u3-104u3+105u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-125o3-120-o3-130o3-120o3-120o3-104
Underu3-125u3+105u3+100-u3+100u3+100u3+105u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.89%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 412.71%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.52%
Exactly 321.00%
Exactly 56.15%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 037.51%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 023.71%
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 311.78%
Exactly 44.24%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.61%
Exactly 220.47%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.65%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 063.51%
Exactly 128.83%
Exactly 26.55%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 051.36%
Exactly 134.22%
Exactly 211.40%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals9.14%
Wins by 3+ goals2.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals23.37%
Wins by 3+ goals8.98%
Wins by 4+ goals2.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal16.51%
Wins by 2 goals6.68%
Wins by 3 goals1.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal24.23%
Wins by 2 goals14.38%
Wins by 3 goals6.22%
Wins by 4 goals2.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.11%8.89%
1.569.59%30.41%
2.543.55%56.45%
3.522.54%77.46%
4.59.84%90.16%
5.53.69%96.31%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.49%37.51%
1.525.71%74.29%
2.57.68%92.32%
3.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.29%23.71%
1.542.16%57.84%
2.517.61%82.39%
3.55.83%94.17%
4.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.39%32.61%
1.530.84%69.16%
2.510.37%89.63%
3.52.73%97.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
8.89%
12.80%
9.21%
4.42%
1.59%
0.46%
1
8.72%
12.55%
9.03%
4.33%
1.56%
0.45%
2
4.28%
6.15%
4.43%
2.12%
0.76%
0.22%
3
1.40%
2.01%
1.45%
0.69%
0.25%
0.07%
4
0.34%
0.49%
0.35%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-08.72%
2-04.28%
2-16.15%
3-01.40%
3-12.01%
3-21.45%
4-00.34%
4-10.49%
4-20.35%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-08.89%
1-112.55%
2-24.43%
3-30.69%
Newcastle United
0-112.80%
0-29.21%
1-29.03%
0-34.42%
1-34.33%
2-32.12%
0-41.59%
1-41.56%
2-40.76%
3-40.25%
0-50.46%
1-50.45%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
32.61%
21.73%
7.24%
1.61%
0.27%
1
14.81%
9.87%
3.29%
0.73%
0.12%
2
3.36%
2.24%
0.75%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.51%
0.34%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-014.81%
2-03.36%
2-12.24%
3-00.51%
3-10.34%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.61%
1-19.87%
2-20.75%
Newcastle United
0-121.73%
0-27.24%
1-23.29%
0-31.61%
1-30.73%
2-30.17%
0-40.27%
1-40.12%