Manchester Utd at Brighton

Updated

Manchester United

33.7%28.5%37.8%
Manchester Utd WinDrawBrighton Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.18
0Final Score 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Aston Villa-135
T 2-2 at Tottenham+140
W 2-0 at Nottingham Forest-145
W 0-2 vs Everton-188
W 0-1 vs Brentford-165
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 0-6 vs Wolverhampton-174
L 1-3 at Nottingham Forest-175
W 2-1 at Chelsea+150
L 1-2 at Tottenham+155
W 2-0 at Bournemouth-185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+225+214+210+218+228+218+228+229.1
Brighton+115+118+115+119+121+119+121+126.7
Draw+260+280+285+279+281+279+285+292.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+240-+200-+200+215+215+229.1
Brighton+100-+119--105+115+119+126.7
Draw+290-+290-+255+275+290+292.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +228 to +221
Brighton ML moved from +101 to -100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 10.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +230 to +200
Brighton ML moved from +108 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-126o3¼+102o3-119o3-115o3-119o3-115o3-110
Underu3-115u3+106u3¼-122u3+103u3+100u3+103u3¼-122u3+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-120o3-120-o3-125o3-120o3-120o3-110
Underu3-115u3+100u3+100-u3-105u3+100u3+100u3+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.25%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 411.50%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.35%
Exactly 320.19%
Exactly 55.24%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 033.37%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.10%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 030.72%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.40%
Exactly 38.42%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.83%
Exactly 219.37%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 060.16%
Exactly 130.57%
Exactly 27.77%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 057.90%
Exactly 131.64%
Exactly 28.64%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals13.31%
Wins by 3+ goals4.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals15.96%
Wins by 3+ goals5.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal20.29%
Wins by 2 goals9.31%
Wins by 3 goals3.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal21.82%
Wins by 2 goals10.77%
Wins by 3 goals3.84%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.75%10.25%
1.566.40%33.60%
2.539.80%60.20%
3.519.61%80.39%
4.58.12%91.88%
5.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.63%33.37%
1.530.00%70.00%
2.59.91%90.09%
3.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.28%30.72%
1.533.02%66.98%
2.511.62%88.38%
3.53.21%96.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.17%34.83%
1.528.43%71.57%
2.59.06%90.94%
3.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
10.25%
12.10%
7.14%
2.81%
0.83%
0.20%
1
11.25%
13.28%
7.84%
3.08%
0.91%
0.21%
2
6.17%
7.29%
4.30%
1.69%
0.50%
0.12%
3
2.26%
2.67%
1.57%
0.62%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.62%
0.73%
0.43%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-011.25%
2-06.17%
2-17.29%
3-02.26%
3-12.67%
3-21.57%
4-00.62%
4-10.73%
4-20.43%
4-30.17%
5-00.14%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-010.25%
1-113.28%
2-24.30%
3-30.62%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-112.10%
0-27.14%
1-27.84%
0-32.81%
1-33.08%
2-31.69%
0-40.83%
1-40.91%
2-40.50%
3-40.18%
0-50.20%
1-50.21%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
34.83%
19.03%
5.20%
0.95%
0.13%
1
17.70%
9.67%
2.64%
0.48%
0.07%
2
4.50%
2.46%
0.67%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.76%
0.42%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-017.70%
2-04.50%
2-12.46%
3-00.76%
3-10.42%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.83%
1-19.67%
2-20.67%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-119.03%
0-25.20%
1-22.64%
0-30.95%
1-30.48%
2-30.12%
0-40.13%