Aston Villa at Manchester Utd

Updated

Aston Villa

12.0%17.6%70.4%
WinDrawManchester Utd Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.30
0Final Score 1

Manchester United

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Fulham-140
T 1-1 at Brentford+175
W 0-3 vs Newcastle United+290
W 0-2 vs Nottingham Forest-175
W 2-1 at Leicester City+170
Manchester United
Money Line
T 2-2 at Tottenham+140
W 2-0 at Nottingham Forest-145
W 0-2 vs Everton-188
W 0-1 vs Brentford-165
L 0-2 at Newcastle United+211

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+382+351+340+385+369+385+385+401.0
Manchester Utd-153-135-140-138-131-138-131-128.0
Draw+340+311+320+305+305+305+320+318.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+305-+345-+325+365+365+401.0
Manchester Utd-160--135--165-145-135-128.0
Draw+275-+294-+270+310+310+318.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 30.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +360 to +352
Manchester Utd ML moved from -125 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML
Manchester Utd ML moved from -150 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+103o3-121o3-118o3-110o3-110o3-110o3-110o3-102
Underu3-121u3+103u3-102u3-106u3-105u3-106u3+103u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-120o3-110-o3-115o3-115o3-110o3-102
Underu3-135u3+100u3-110-u3-115u3-105u3+100u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.33%
Exactly 221.35%
Exactly 417.52%
Exactly 65.75%
Exactly 81.01%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.60%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 511.00%
Exactly 72.58%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 043.42%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.11%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 09.98%
Exactly 123.00%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 320.36%
Exactly 411.73%
Exactly 55.40%
Exactly 62.08%
Exactly 70.68%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.38%
Exactly 224.69%
Exactly 44.34%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.98%
Exactly 311.96%
Exactly 51.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 067.96%
Exactly 126.25%
Exactly 25.07%
Exactly 30.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 034.41%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.58%
Exactly 36.96%
Exactly 41.86%
Exactly 50.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals3.53%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%
Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals47.13%
Wins by 3+ goals26.23%
Wins by 4+ goals12.24%
Wins by 5+ goals4.84%
Wins by 6+ goals1.63%
Wins by 7+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Manchester United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal8.40%
Wins by 2 goals2.74%
Wins by 3 goals0.66%
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal23.21%
Wins by 2 goals20.90%
Wins by 3 goals14.00%
Wins by 4 goals7.39%
Wins by 5 goals3.21%
Wins by 6 goals1.18%
Wins by 7 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.67%4.33%
1.582.06%17.94%
2.560.71%39.29%
3.538.38%61.62%
4.520.85%79.15%
5.59.85%90.15%
6.54.10%95.90%
7.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.58%43.42%
1.520.36%79.64%
2.55.25%94.75%
3.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.02%9.98%
1.567.01%32.99%
2.540.51%59.49%
3.520.15%79.85%
4.58.42%91.58%
5.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.62%23.38%
1.542.64%57.36%
2.517.95%82.05%
3.55.99%94.01%
4.51.65%98.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Manchester United
Score012345
0
4.33%
9.99%
11.51%
8.84%
5.09%
2.35%
1
3.62%
8.33%
9.60%
7.37%
4.25%
1.96%
2
1.51%
3.48%
4.00%
3.08%
1.77%
0.82%
3
0.42%
0.97%
1.11%
0.86%
0.49%
0.23%
Aston Villa
1-03.62%
2-01.51%
2-13.48%
3-00.42%
3-10.97%
3-21.11%
Draw
0-04.33%
1-18.33%
2-24.00%
3-30.86%
4-40.10%
Manchester United
0-19.99%
0-211.51%
1-29.60%
0-38.84%
1-37.37%
2-33.08%
0-45.09%
1-44.25%
2-41.77%
3-40.49%
0-52.35%
1-51.96%
2-50.82%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Manchester United
Score012345
0
23.38%
24.95%
13.31%
4.73%
1.26%
0.27%
1
9.03%
9.64%
5.14%
1.83%
0.49%
0.10%
2
1.74%
1.86%
0.99%
0.35%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.22%
0.24%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-09.03%
2-01.74%
2-11.86%
3-00.22%
3-10.24%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-023.38%
1-19.64%
2-20.99%
Manchester United
0-124.95%
0-213.31%
1-25.14%
0-34.73%
1-31.83%
2-30.35%
0-41.26%
1-40.49%
0-50.27%
1-50.10%