Manchester Utd at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Manchester United

35.1%27.9%37.0%
Manchester Utd WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.20
0Final Score 2

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Southampton-370
L 0-7 at Liverpool+185
W 0-3 vs Leicester City-180
W 2-0 at Leeds United-110
T 2-2 vs Leeds United-200
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 2-1 at Nottingham Forest-152
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-160
L 0-2 at Manchester City+550
L 2-0 vs Liverpool+150
T 1-1 at Bournemouth-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+190+208+205+210+215+210+215+220.9
Newcastle Utd+145+132+125+130+137+130+137+138.1
Draw+240+253+260+260+256+260+260+272.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+190-+211-+185+205+211+220.9
Newcastle Utd+135-+123-+115+130+130+138.1
Draw+260-+247-+225+250+250+272.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +220 to +205
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +137 to +129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Manchester Utd ML
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +131 to +114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-124o2½-120o2½-121o2½-116o2½-121o2½-116o2½-112
Underu2½-108u2½+106u2½+100u2½+105u2½+101u2½+105u2½+106u2½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-110o2½-118-o2½-120o2½-120o2½-110o2½-112
Underu2½+100u2½-110u2½-102-u2½-110u2½+100u2½+100u2½+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.36%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 412.28%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.17%
Exactly 320.73%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 031.18%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 38.23%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 030.03%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 221.73%
Exactly 38.71%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.40%
Exactly 220.08%
Exactly 42.01%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.34%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 058.30%
Exactly 131.46%
Exactly 28.49%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 057.29%
Exactly 131.91%
Exactly 28.89%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals14.56%
Wins by 3+ goals4.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals15.72%
Wins by 3+ goals5.17%
Wins by 4+ goals1.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal20.57%
Wins by 2 goals9.90%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal21.23%
Wins by 2 goals10.55%
Wins by 3 goals3.81%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.64%9.36%
1.568.47%31.53%
2.542.21%57.79%
3.521.47%78.53%
4.59.20%90.80%
5.53.38%96.62%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.82%31.18%
1.532.49%67.51%
2.511.31%88.69%
3.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.97%30.03%
1.533.85%66.15%
2.512.12%87.88%
3.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.60%33.40%
1.529.97%70.03%
2.59.89%90.11%
3.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
9.36%
11.26%
6.77%
2.72%
0.82%
0.20%
1
10.91%
13.13%
7.90%
3.17%
0.95%
0.23%
2
6.36%
7.65%
4.60%
1.85%
0.56%
0.13%
3
2.47%
2.97%
1.79%
0.72%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.72%
0.87%
0.52%
0.21%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-010.91%
2-06.36%
2-17.65%
3-02.47%
3-12.97%
3-21.79%
4-00.72%
4-10.87%
4-20.52%
4-30.21%
5-00.17%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.36%
1-113.13%
2-24.60%
3-30.72%
Newcastle United
0-111.26%
0-26.77%
1-27.90%
0-32.72%
1-33.17%
2-31.85%
0-40.82%
1-40.95%
2-40.56%
3-40.22%
0-50.20%
1-50.23%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
33.40%
18.60%
5.18%
0.96%
0.13%
1
18.02%
10.04%
2.80%
0.52%
0.07%
2
4.86%
2.71%
0.75%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.87%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-018.02%
2-04.86%
2-12.71%
3-00.87%
3-10.49%
3-20.14%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-033.40%
1-110.04%
2-20.75%
Newcastle United
0-118.60%
0-25.18%
1-22.80%
0-30.96%
1-30.52%
2-30.14%
0-40.13%