Newcastle Utd at Manchester City

Updated

Newcastle United

7.0%13.3%79.7%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.69
0Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Liverpool+150
T 1-1 at Bournemouth-175
T 1-1 vs West Ham United-157
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace-116
W 0-1 vs Fulham-210
Manchester City
Money Line
W 4-1 at Bournemouth-310
T 1-1 at Nottingham Forest-295
W 3-1 at Arsenal+127
W 1-3 vs Aston Villa-325
L 0-1 at Tottenham-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+574+579+525+580+590+580+590+604.0
Manchester City-209-201-205-195-193-195-193-176.6
Draw+364+344+350+340+351+340+351+355.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+490-+550-+430+475+550+604.0
Manchester City-270--205--220-180-180-176.6
Draw+340-+341-+295+325+341+355.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +565 to +558
Manchester City ML moved from -187 to -193

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +500 to +475
Manchester City ML moved from -185 to -205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3+117o2¾-110o2¾-110o2½-131o2¾-110o2½-131o2¾-102
Underu3-123u3-139u2¾-110u2¾-106u2½+116u2¾-106u3-139u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3+120o2½-138-o3+115o3+120o2½-138o2¾-102
Underu3-135u3-140u2½+118-u3-145u3-140u3-140u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.44%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 418.48%
Exactly 67.00%
Exactly 81.42%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.59%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 512.46%
Exactly 73.37%
Exactly 90.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 050.63%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.73%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 06.79%
Exactly 118.26%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 414.81%
Exactly 57.97%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 80.46%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.00%
Exactly 225.57%
Exactly 45.19%
Exactly 60.42%
 
Exactly 132.77%
Exactly 313.30%
Exactly 51.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 072.97%
Exactly 123.00%
Exactly 23.62%
Exactly 30.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 028.78%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals1.69%
Wins by 3+ goals0.29%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals58.97%
Wins by 3+ goals36.98%
Wins by 4+ goals19.70%
Wins by 5+ goals9.00%
Wins by 6+ goals3.56%
Wins by 7+ goals1.22%
Wins by 8+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal5.24%
Wins by 2 goals1.39%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal20.72%
Wins by 2 goals21.99%
Wins by 3 goals17.29%
Wins by 4 goals10.70%
Wins by 5 goals5.44%
Wins by 6 goals2.34%
Wins by 7 goals0.87%
Wins by 8 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.56%3.44%
1.584.98%15.02%
2.565.45%34.55%
3.543.52%56.48%
4.525.03%74.97%
5.512.58%87.42%
6.55.58%94.42%
7.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.37%50.63%
1.514.91%85.09%
2.53.18%96.82%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.21%6.79%
1.574.95%25.05%
2.550.39%49.61%
3.528.37%71.63%
4.513.56%86.44%
5.55.59%94.41%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.00%21.00%
1.546.22%53.78%
2.520.65%79.35%
3.57.35%92.65%
4.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.44%
9.25%
12.43%
11.15%
7.50%
4.03%
1
2.34%
6.29%
8.46%
7.59%
5.10%
2.75%
2
0.80%
2.14%
2.88%
2.58%
1.74%
0.93%
3
0.18%
0.49%
0.65%
0.59%
0.39%
0.21%
Newcastle United
1-02.34%
2-00.80%
2-12.14%
3-00.18%
3-10.49%
3-20.65%
Draw
0-03.44%
1-16.29%
2-22.88%
3-30.59%
Manchester City
0-19.25%
0-212.43%
1-28.46%
0-311.15%
1-37.59%
2-32.58%
0-47.50%
1-45.10%
2-41.74%
3-40.39%
0-54.03%
1-52.75%
2-50.93%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
21.00%
26.16%
16.29%
6.76%
2.11%
0.52%
0.11%
1
6.62%
8.24%
5.13%
2.13%
0.66%
0.17%
0.03%
2
1.04%
1.30%
0.81%
0.34%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.14%
0.08%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-06.62%
2-01.04%
2-11.30%
3-00.11%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-021.00%
1-18.24%
2-20.81%
Manchester City
0-126.16%
0-216.29%
1-25.13%
0-36.76%
1-32.13%
2-30.34%
0-42.11%
1-40.66%
2-40.10%
0-50.52%
1-50.17%
0-60.11%