Everton at Aston Villa

Updated

Everton

24.6%24.6%50.8%
Everton WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.64
0Final Score 4

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Everton
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Fulham+130
W 0-1 vs Bournemouth-170
T 1-1 at Wolverhampton+130
L 3-0 vs Manchester City+750
W 5-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+750
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 1-5 at Newcastle United+410
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-115
T 1-1 at Liverpool+540
W 1-2 vs Tottenham+130
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+134

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Everton+460+336+310+335+343+335+343+350.3
Aston Villa-170-122-120-120-124-120-120-111.4
Draw+320+283+290+285+292+285+292+298.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Everton+400-+310-+310+330+330+350.3
Aston Villa-145--115--150-125-115-111.4
Draw+285-+262-+250+280+280+298.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Everton: 20.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Everton: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Everton ML moved from +354 to +346
Aston Villa ML moved from -143 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Everton: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Everton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Everton ML moved from +355 to +310
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-134o2¾-105o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2½-134o2¾+105
Underu2½-115u2½+114u2¾-115u2¾-114u2¾-112u2¾-114u2¾-112u2¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-130o2½-130-o2½-130o2½-130o2½-130o2¾+105
Underu2½-105u2½+110u2½+110-u2½+100u2½+110u2½+110u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.75%
Exactly 224.52%
Exactly 414.85%
Exactly 63.60%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.19%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 58.01%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Everton
Exactly 034.66%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.46%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 019.47%
Exactly 131.86%
Exactly 226.06%
Exactly 314.22%
Exactly 45.82%
Exactly 51.90%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.70%
Exactly 222.36%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 39.30%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Everton
Exactly 061.23%
Exactly 130.04%
Exactly 27.37%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 046.88%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 213.45%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Everton
Wins by 2+ goals9.08%
Wins by 3+ goals2.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals26.96%
Wins by 3+ goals11.43%
Wins by 4+ goals3.96%
Wins by 5+ goals1.14%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Everton
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Everton
Wins by 1 goal15.42%
Wins by 2 goals6.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.82%
Wins by 2 goals15.53%
Wins by 3 goals7.47%
Wins by 4 goals2.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.25%6.75%
1.575.06%24.94%
2.550.54%49.46%
3.528.50%71.50%
4.513.65%86.35%
5.55.64%94.36%
6.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Everton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.34%34.66%
1.528.62%71.38%
2.59.16%90.84%
3.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.53%19.47%
1.548.67%51.33%
2.522.60%77.40%
3.58.39%91.61%
4.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.30%28.70%
1.535.47%64.53%
2.513.11%86.89%
3.53.81%96.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Everton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.75%
11.04%
9.03%
4.93%
2.02%
0.66%
1
7.15%
11.70%
9.57%
5.22%
2.14%
0.70%
2
3.79%
6.20%
5.07%
2.77%
1.13%
0.37%
3
1.34%
2.19%
1.79%
0.98%
0.40%
0.13%
4
0.35%
0.58%
0.47%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
Everton
1-07.15%
2-03.79%
2-16.20%
3-01.34%
3-12.19%
3-21.79%
4-00.35%
4-10.58%
4-20.47%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.75%
1-111.70%
2-25.07%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Aston Villa
0-111.04%
0-29.03%
1-29.57%
0-34.93%
1-35.22%
2-32.77%
0-42.02%
1-42.14%
2-41.13%
3-40.40%
0-50.66%
1-50.70%
2-50.37%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Everton
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
28.70%
21.74%
8.24%
2.08%
0.39%
1
14.08%
10.67%
4.04%
1.02%
0.19%
2
3.45%
2.62%
0.99%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.56%
0.43%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Everton
1-014.08%
2-03.45%
2-12.62%
3-00.56%
3-10.43%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-028.70%
1-110.67%
2-20.99%
Aston Villa
0-121.74%
0-28.24%
1-24.04%
0-32.08%
1-31.02%
2-30.25%
0-40.39%
1-40.19%