Aston Villa at Liverpool

Updated

Aston Villa

9.1%15.3%75.6%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.51
1Final Score 1

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Tottenham+130
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+134
L 0-1 at Manchester United+365
W 0-1 vs Fulham-140
T 1-1 at Brentford+175
Liverpool
Money Line
W 3-0 at Leicester City-155
W 0-1 vs Brentford-230
W 0-1 vs Fulham-370
W 3-4 vs Tottenham-188
W 2-1 at West Ham United-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+503+504+475+550+566+550+566+573.0
Liverpool-199-200-200-210-206-210-200-189.3
Draw+380+382+380+390+392+390+392+407.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+470-+540-+425+495+540+573.0
Liverpool-210--220--230-205-205-189.3
Draw+405-+380-+315+370+380+407.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Liverpool: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +475 to +460
Liverpool ML moved from -192 to -205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Liverpool: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +440 to +425
Liverpool ML moved from -210 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-113o3½+117o3¼-112o3¼+101o3-128o3¼+101o3-128o3¼+108
Underu3-103u3½-139u3¼-108u3¼-117u3+113u3¼-117u3½-139u3¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-135o3-124-o3-125o3-130o3-124o3¼+108
Underu3+100u3+115u3+104-u3-105u3+110u3+115u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.80%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 418.11%
Exactly 66.46%
Exactly 81.23%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.42%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 511.84%
Exactly 73.02%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 046.90%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 213.44%
Exactly 33.39%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 08.10%
Exactly 120.36%
Exactly 225.58%
Exactly 321.43%
Exactly 413.47%
Exactly 56.77%
Exactly 62.84%
Exactly 71.02%
Exactly 80.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.00%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 312.73%
Exactly 51.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 070.43%
Exactly 124.69%
Exactly 24.33%
Exactly 30.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 031.23%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 221.15%
Exactly 38.20%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals2.40%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals53.46%
Wins by 3+ goals31.79%
Wins by 4+ goals15.94%
Wins by 5+ goals6.80%
Wins by 6+ goals2.48%
Wins by 7+ goals0.74%
Wins by 8+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Liverpool
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal6.62%
Wins by 2 goals1.94%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal22.01%
Wins by 2 goals21.67%
Wins by 3 goals15.85%
Wins by 4 goals9.14%
Wins by 5 goals4.33%
Wins by 6 goals1.73%
Wins by 7 goals0.59%
Wins by 8 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.20%3.80%
1.583.78%16.22%
2.563.46%36.54%
3.541.31%58.69%
4.523.20%76.80%
5.511.36%88.64%
6.54.90%95.10%
7.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.10%46.90%
1.517.59%82.41%
2.54.14%95.86%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.90%8.10%
1.571.54%28.46%
2.545.96%54.04%
3.524.53%75.47%
4.511.06%88.94%
5.54.29%95.71%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.00%22.00%
1.544.69%55.31%
2.519.47%80.53%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Liverpool
Score012345
0
3.80%
9.55%
12.00%
10.05%
6.32%
3.17%
1
2.88%
7.23%
9.08%
7.61%
4.78%
2.40%
2
1.09%
2.74%
3.44%
2.88%
1.81%
0.91%
3
0.27%
0.69%
0.87%
0.73%
0.46%
0.23%
Aston Villa
1-02.88%
2-01.09%
2-12.74%
3-00.27%
3-10.69%
3-20.87%
Draw
0-03.80%
1-17.23%
2-23.44%
3-30.73%
Liverpool
0-19.55%
0-212.00%
1-29.08%
0-310.05%
1-37.61%
2-32.88%
0-46.32%
1-44.78%
2-41.81%
3-40.46%
0-53.17%
1-52.40%
2-50.91%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Liverpool
Score012345
0
22.00%
25.60%
14.89%
5.78%
1.68%
0.39%
1
7.71%
8.97%
5.22%
2.03%
0.59%
0.14%
2
1.35%
1.57%
0.91%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.16%
0.18%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-07.71%
2-01.35%
2-11.57%
3-00.16%
3-10.18%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-022.00%
1-18.97%
2-20.91%
Liverpool
0-125.60%
0-214.89%
1-25.22%
0-35.78%
1-32.03%
2-30.35%
0-41.68%
1-40.59%
2-40.10%
0-50.39%
1-50.14%