Aston Villa at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Aston Villa

27.2%25.9%47.0%
Aston Villa WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.49
1Final Score 5

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-115
T 1-1 at Liverpool+540
W 1-2 vs Tottenham+130
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+134
L 0-1 at Manchester United+365
Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Chelsea+140
T 0-0 vs Leicester City-320
W 1-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-120
T 2-2 at Leeds United-165
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+378+418+400+425+410+425+425+443.2
Newcastle Utd-137-153-160-152-162-152-152-139.8
Draw+296+312+320+315+307+315+320+329.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+366-+386-+320+410+410+443.2
Newcastle Utd-140--155--155-160-155-139.8
Draw+284-+318-+255+315+318+329.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 40.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +422 to +410
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -149 to -159

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 40.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +370 to +360
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -140 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-134o3+115o2¾-122o2¾-115o2¾-116o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-106
Underu2½+114u3-135u2¾+102u2¾-101u2¾-104u2¾-101u2¾+102u2¾+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-124o2½-140o2½-145-o2½-150o2½-150o2½-140o2¾-106
Underu2½+104u2½+120u2½+125-u2½+120u2½+130u2½+130u2¾+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.69%
Exactly 225.30%
Exactly 413.87%
Exactly 63.04%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.73%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 57.12%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 034.27%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 022.44%
Exactly 133.53%
Exactly 225.05%
Exactly 312.48%
Exactly 44.66%
Exactly 51.39%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.49%
Exactly 221.51%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.51%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 060.91%
Exactly 130.20%
Exactly 27.49%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 050.07%
Exactly 134.64%
Exactly 211.98%
Exactly 32.76%
Exactly 40.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals10.23%
Wins by 3+ goals2.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals23.37%
Wins by 3+ goals9.18%
Wins by 4+ goals2.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Newcastle United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal16.84%
Wins by 2 goals7.28%
Wins by 3 goals2.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal23.49%
Wins by 2 goals14.19%
Wins by 3 goals6.28%
Wins by 4 goals2.18%
Wins by 5 goals0.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.31%7.69%
1.572.58%27.42%
2.547.28%52.72%
3.525.64%74.36%
4.511.77%88.23%
5.54.65%95.35%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.73%34.27%
1.529.03%70.97%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.56%22.44%
1.544.02%55.98%
2.518.97%81.03%
3.56.49%93.51%
4.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.51%30.49%
1.533.29%66.71%
2.511.78%88.22%
3.53.27%96.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
7.69%
11.49%
8.59%
4.28%
1.60%
0.48%
1
8.24%
12.31%
9.19%
4.58%
1.71%
0.51%
2
4.41%
6.59%
4.92%
2.45%
0.92%
0.27%
3
1.57%
2.35%
1.76%
0.88%
0.33%
0.10%
4
0.42%
0.63%
0.47%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Aston Villa
1-08.24%
2-04.41%
2-16.59%
3-01.57%
3-12.35%
3-21.76%
4-00.42%
4-10.63%
4-20.47%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.69%
1-112.31%
2-24.92%
3-30.88%
Newcastle United
0-111.49%
0-28.59%
1-29.19%
0-34.28%
1-34.58%
2-32.45%
0-41.60%
1-41.71%
2-40.92%
3-40.33%
0-50.48%
1-50.51%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
30.49%
21.10%
7.30%
1.68%
0.29%
1
15.12%
10.46%
3.62%
0.83%
0.14%
2
3.75%
2.59%
0.90%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.62%
0.43%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-015.12%
2-03.75%
2-12.59%
3-00.62%
3-10.43%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-030.49%
1-110.46%
2-20.90%
Newcastle United
0-121.10%
0-27.30%
1-23.62%
0-31.68%
1-30.83%
2-30.21%
0-40.29%
1-40.14%